Selections For Wolverhampton and Yarmouth 22nd April

Filed under Tips, April 21st, 2014

5.45 Wolverhampton

It is safe to say this is a dreadful card and the sooner they get the surface sorted the better, this race is awful dreadfully weak but I believe the bookies have overlooked one in my opinion hence the reason for a bet.

Bountiful Forest only has a claimer win to her name, failed to go on from that after. Can only be watched on seasonal reappearance and AW debut.

Biscuiteer didn’t win a CD maiden around here in November, handicap mark took a knock for that and largely held until getting a soft lead at Lingfield on penultimate start, back up 4lb for that and poor effort latest and it looks a case of this mark is too high.

Jazz Bay has shown nothing of note in maidens has to make a big jump on handicap debut. The rest are of little note on what they have shown.

Literally On Fire looks a huge price cut no mustard in first 5 runs but marked improvement last time out in first time cheekpieces over 6f around here, not getting the easiest of races having been shuffled back halfway through after showing plenty of speed and travelling well. Drop in trip shouldn’t prove a problem if showing same early dash and the cheekpieces work again, only beaten a length last time out.

 

2pt win Literally On Fire 7/2 bet365

 

5.55 Yarmouth

Really hot competitive race polar opposite of the 5.45 at Wolverhampton!

Freedoms Light is a worthy favourite but looks incredibly short. Yard have been going extremely well recently. She won her 3rd and final maiden on the AW at Lingfield over 12f when last seen infront of Flemish School who won next time out in handicap company off a mark of 75 so a mark of 80 is workable on that evidence. Some concerns over the drop in trip and also yet to try turf so not for me at such a short price.

Uphold is slipping back in the weights and Moore a good booking but has been largely kept to AW in recent times and best form comes on that these days.

Red Shuttle was in good form when last seen 2 months ago on the AW, further 2lb higher for latest 2nd, yet to win on turf but showed enough on it but more to find off revised mark in a hot race.

Raskova has to be respected with top connections, she contested some decent races last year not beaten far when last seen in November. 3lb higher makes things tougher but not fully exposed although ground is a slight concern given best form come with some give in the ground.

Silver Alliance has already had a pipe opener at Wolves last time out and sure to strip fitter for that and goes well here but requires a career best off this mark.

Barwick is an interesting runner failed to win last year but his 2 wins have both come around here. He to had a pipe opener which was filled with promise at Windsor, staying on reasonably well. Will appreciate this return to faster conditions if it is this trip he needs some doubts about that for now.

Chain Of Events looks the one to take at an E/W price, only beaten a neck by the resurgent King Olav at Kempton on latest start if building on that on return to turf. He is now 5lb below last winning mark and should go well.

 

1pt e/w Chain Of Events 9/1 pp

Selections For Kempton 19th April

Filed under Tips, April 18th, 2014

2.20 Kempton

Ayaar is an interesting runner, did well as a 2yr old including a win in Germany. Highly tried as a 3yr old in some hot races but finally back on the scoreboard at Newmarket when last seen, 4lb rise makes things tougher but fetched a decent sum at the sales and clearly connections feel he has more to offer yet and with a yard that can eke that little bit more out of him although may need the run.

Glen Moss is another starting out for a new yard, and this yard have already had a couple of winners this season. He was runner up in this last season but starts this season off a 7lb higher mark having won 2 races last season, goes well fresh and this easier than what he was contesting back end of last season.

Bravo Echo won a conditions event last time out winning a tactical affair, handicapper reacted harshly and mark looks plenty high enough.

Bluegrass Blues goes extremely well around with 2 wins (1 disqual) and a good 2nd from 3 runs, no show in Spring Cup but this far easier and would be no surprise running a better race here.

Rocksilla won her last 2 starts last season at Ponte and Yarmouth up a harsh 8lb for latest Yarmouth win and that looks harsh.

Upavon might be the one to chance coming here race fit compared to many of the market rivals, his record on the AW is impressive 4 wins from 9 and 3 from 6 around here. 3lb rise for latest win looks fair and this step up to 7f will be no problem.

 

2pt win Upavon 7/1 hills

 

5.05 Kempton

Several of these ran in a CD conditions race just over 2 weeks ago, Noble Silk was 2nd behind Castillo Del Diablo, he is much better off back in handicap against 5th placed Sir Graham Wade and 3rd placed Clowance Estate but Noble Silk has never won off a mark this high and you can expect Sir Graham Wade to have come on for the run and should finish closer, he was only 2 lengths behind and he is now on a dangerous handicap mark if recapturing anything like his best.

Clowance Estate isn’t fully exposed but is starting to look a little bit of a hype horse and blinkers need to bring about some improvement back in handicap.

White Nile won on season reappearance picking up where he left off last season, this is a much stronger race with a 7lb rise but likely to still have more to offer this season especially with Moore in the saddle, although bounce factor a worry just 10 days later.

Seaside Sizzler might be worth taking a speculative punt on, he has twice won first time up at start of season including over this CD similar time of year. Largely ran well after but something clearly amiss in Cesarewitch, still remains 4lb above last winning mark but competitive off this mark last season and if fit enough to do himself justice a threat to all around here with 3 wins from 4, 11/1 huge price.

 

2pt win Seaside Sizzler 11/1 bet365

Selections For Musselburgh and Lingfield 18th April

Filed under Tips, April 17th, 2014

4.55 Musselburgh

Few of these make little appeal but one does appeal much more than most.

L’ami Louis is something of win shy horse, clearly has ability but winning he finds tough. He has joined a small yard which may have its benefits and on a fair mark only a 1lb above only handicap winning mark but wins have come on rattling fast ground and no record fresh. One to watch.

Lady Ibrox shaped with promise on reappearance at Lingfield last time out looking badly in need of the race, 6lb below last winning mark and if building on latest effort and coping with good ground (best form on soft conditions) has to go close.

Moorhouse Lad is another in consistent form on the AW this winter but losing streak goes back some way now and that remains a concern.

Opt Out might have more to offer around here this season having won and ran very well when last seen here in October, runs off same mark but unproven fresh.

Red Baron is the one that interests me the most, he is something of a course specialist having won 3 from 5 around here and a pleasing effort on seasonal reappearance last time out on AW looking in need of a run, 1lb lower today and may have more to offer on the northern circuit.

 

2pt win Red Baron 9/2 boyles

 

5.30 Musselburgh

Space Artist looks just about right in the weights when last seen and a break needs to have brought about something extra to be taking this and unlikely to get a soft lead in this.

Royal Bajan another front runner who has always been better on the AW but has performed well on turf before and gets in off a much lower turf mark but still looks plenty high enough.

Bronze Beau another front runner who is still 1lb above highest winning mark.

Go Go Green will appreciate a fast pace which is likely to ensue here, should come on for the run but remains plenty high enough on what he showed last year and clearly not as good as he once was.

Findog looked desperately unlucky on a number of occasions last year but he is clearly tricky, but on his best form on a good mark, poor fresh last year.

Go Nani Go has to prove hard to beat in this. A decent gallop will suit him and he made a very strong reappearance at Lingfield in a better race last time out. Has had 3 runs here and all 3 have been good runs.

 

2pt win Go Nani Go 5/2 PP

 

2.20 Lingfield

This might be the trickiest of the AW finals to work out due to the fact these are 6f, 7f and mile horses now all running over 7f. Its also worth noting that several of the market prinicipals are drawn out in the car park.

Fashion Line is the highest rated of these on OR’s and could have more to offer yet although has looked to need all of the extended mile at Wolves recently and latest effort would suggest that even more so. Also drawn out in stall 11.

Interception hasn’t been seen since November but comes from a yard that demands respect especially after he racked up a quick hatrick on the AW all over 6f, shaped as if a step up would suit. Yard 2 disappointing runners so far this season a worry aswell as the wide draw in stall 14.

High Time Too has a bit to find on ratings but has looked an improving sort under Moore last 2 starts and he is up again today, they have both been over a mile, never tried this trip but atleast well drawn to sit prominent again.

Maggie Pink will have no problem with this trip, has a little to find on ratings but clearly in good heart at present for a yard going great guns and is an interesting runner.

Hannahs Turn is capable at this trip and has had a great winter at Southwell, has something to find switched to polytrack again.

Fanoos was impressive when last seen at Kempton, she was treated very carefully before the racing and clearly has her quirks but she got the job done nicely over this trip. A little to find on ratings but open to further improvement for new yard if coping with stall 10.

Glastonberry might be worth a chance in this at a bigger price, last run over this CD was a win. Has spent the whole winter racing over 6f and has proved consistent throughout winning latest run over 6f at Kempton. Well drawn to sit behind the leaders today and should the others fail to overcome their draw she is likely to be thereabouts despite having a few lb’s to find.

 

1pt e/w Glastonberry 14/1 coral

 

4.05 Lingfield

Hard to rule out many of these, most were last seen running really good races and are all closely matched on ratings.

Addictive Dream has something to find with Stepper Point on their running last time out.

Alben Star has needed smaller fields to be seen to his best ability and this may prove to competitive for him.

On a line of form through Addictive Dream, Ballista again has something to find on Stepper Point.

Even Stevens has always been better on the deeper surface at Southwell and now has to prove as good on polytrack and bounce back from a poor effort on turf latest.

Hasopop doesn’t look entirely straightforward but can be forgiven latest running in a tactical affair, trip a slight concern as recent form is over 7f also stall 12 unattractive.

Hawkeyethenoo doesn’t know how to run a bad race but does find winning tough these days and has something to find with Tarooq on latest run.

Lance Du Lac is not fully exposed and could end up ahead of several of these by the end of the season, but looked a little flat last time out and needs to have come on from that run to feature in this.

Rivellino was behind Tarooq latest and clearly needs to find a bit extra to be turning the tables and also drawn out in stall 13.

To be fair Tarooq hasn’t got it much easier in stall 11, his record around lingfield is impressive though 5 from 9.

Valbcheck is 2 from 2 around here and has Moore in the saddle today, slight concern not seen since November and may have other prizes in his sights but record fresh is good.

Hard to get away from Stepper Point so much of his form links back in with this field and he has the beating of most of these on his latest listed win, extremely impressive over the 5f around and should have no problems with this return to 6f, stall 8 is a mediocre draw but is likely to sit off the pace slightly so shouldn’t be a problem.

 

2pt win Stepper Point 11/2 boyles

Selections For Ripon 17th April

Filed under Tips, April 17th, 2014

2.30 Ripon

Two really good interesting sprints which has been divided and both divisions look full of interesting contenders.

Dark Castle has no record fresh and looks high enough in the weights at present.

Right Touch is still not fully exposed and yet to run a bad race here yet, slight concern is he is 7lb above last winning mark and a lesser effort when last seen but record fresh is reasonable.

Poweful Presence was nowhere near his best when last seen, record fresh is fantastic but would prefer faster conditions and 6f could be too sharp.

Duke Cosimo is another lightly raced sort but went off the boil when last seen, has since changed hands and joined a very clever yard who are sure to get more out of him at some point.

Tajneed isn’t getting any younger and would be better off in claimers and sellers these days and on softer conditions.

Barkston Ash is the one that interests me the most, had 2 runs to put him just about spot on for this. Latest effort was a huge improvement, he should appreciate this return to slightly better ground conditions although has gone in desperate conditions. This mark requires a career best effort but latest effort suggest he could up to it.

 

2pt win Barkston Ash 5/1 VC

 

3.05 Ripon

Green Horward remains on a workable mark and has won fresh, would probably want softer conditions than this though.

Kimberella remains with only a maiden win to his name and didn’t show enough on reappearance to suggest he will be making a mark here today.

Red Refraction made a reasonable reappearance last time out over 7f, return to 6f shouldn’t be a problem and should come on for the run but does remain 3lb above last winning mark.

Compton Park is an interesting runner having made a return to these shores last time out at Donny when staying on from an uninspiring position. Has to prove as effective on faster conditions and whether 6f is ideal is another sore point.

Klynch won first time up this season at Southwell but through a wobbly at Thirsk latest off revised mark, still on a very workable mark if bouncing back from that dreadful effort latest.

Valarta was last seen in good form last season when 2nd twice, will appreciate this return to 6f but didn’t go well fresh last season so that a concern.

Adams Ale might be the one to chance rarely runs a bad race and a respectable effort last time out on season debut. The better ground conditions today will suit and should come on for the run.

 

2pt win Adams Ale 5/1 boyles

Selection For Kempton 9th April

Filed under Tips, April 8th, 2014

8.30 Kempton

Interesting low grade all weather handicap. Keep The Secret won a maiden over this trip at Lingfield on polytrack back in December 2012 on debut, but showed nothing in 4 runs last summer in handicaps including back over that CD, clearly needs to show more for all mark has dropped again.

John Potts has had a good winter picking up 2 of these recently, further 4lb rise for the latest. Not won off this mark for over 3 years also unlikely to get an easy time up front with Shahrazad in the field.

Secret Succes won over CD on penultimate start in September before failing to land a blow last time out on turf, possibly worth forgiving that with underfoot soft conditions, didn’t show anything fresh last year and usual tongue tie left off so may need the run.

Automotive would be more at home over a bit further but it may be the case they try front run with him to stretch this lot although wide draw wont help.

Shifting Star is largely consistent at present and is on a very lenient mark but losing run is stacking up and all best form has been over a little shorter.

Divine Rule picked up a race that fell apart and that is what he needs, 3lb rise leaves him vulnerable off this sort of mark.

Katmai River is hard to win with but does know how to win and has had a good season under this apprentice, further 2lb rise for latest 2nd leaves him now 6lb above last winning mark.

Tijuca is the slightly more interesting one, she has found her form just recently and won in the first time cheekpieces on penultimate start off a 3lb lower mark. Failed to land a blow last time out in a race not run to suit in a small field, but still ran as if in form over a shorter than ideal 7f. Step back up to mile sure to suit with the chance of a more truly run race with apprentice of the moment taking off the 3lb so looks well treated back over this trip.

 

2pt win Tijuca 8/1 bet365

Selection For Pontefract 8th April

Filed under Tips, April 7th, 2014

4.15 Pontefract

Typically strong competitive card from Pontefract!

This race is somewhat easier than what Sennockian Star contested last season but might be a little high in the weights at present.

Clayton has a reasonable record fresh and acts on soft ground but remains 3lb above last winning mark and although not fully exposed needs to find more.

Stepping Ahead looks another held by his current despite a decent record on soft ground, poor effort latest aswell.

Centurius was a beaten favourite last time out, sure to come on for that run but clearly not the easiest to win with. Cheekpieces need to bring about a lot more to being winning something like this.

Amralah is an interesting runner, totally forget last run outclassed in group 3. Sure to have better chance back in a handicap 7lb above last winning mark, record fresh respectable and acts on this ground.

Las Verglas Star loves testing conditions but well over a year since last win and this may not be testing enough for him.

Easy Terms might be the one to side with here, very good record fresh lightly raced in recent times but useful performer under this trainer and has now dropped 3lb below last winning mark, has won over CD in the past and should go well again if ready after the winter.

 

1pt e/w Easy Terms 12/1 bet365

Selections For Windsor 7th April

Filed under Tips, April 7th, 2014

3.10 Windsor

Good handicap for a Monday although most of these are running for the first time this season and we have seen already this season those fit from AW have had an advantage over those not run.

Eurato makes his British debut appeared show good form in France hard to say what that equates to in this country, and that was all over much further although will appreciate soft conditions today.

Tobacco Road represents top connections around here but disappointed off 1lb higher mark when last seen last year, no record fresh and although still not fully exposed one to tread carefully with at a short price/false price.

Myboyalfie has the benefit of a run recently but didn’t show enough to warrant interest here.

Lunar Deity is somewhat quirky and not the easiest to win with at times, again record fresh poor and mark looks plenty harsh enough on return.

Ogbourne Downs won first time out last season on debut over CD in a maiden, and also won again in handicap over CD off a mark of 79, not so good since away from here but has dropped to a mark of 80 and must have a chance returned to this course and also fresh, interesting one.

There has been plenty of money around for Saigon City this morning which is interesting, having gone well on debut last season before winning two mile handicaps at Notts and Yarmouth, up 5lb for those and wasn’t beaten by stamina when stepping up in trip when last seen. Clearly needs to find a little more on that but is with a top yard and far from fully exposed yet.

Fleckerl is another unexposed sort with just 3 runs and has won 2 of those, something didn’t look right with him when last seen 56 days ago need to bounce back.

My Son Max another fit from AW antics, won a southwell seller recently and fair effort back in handicap last time out. Not so good on turf and therefore races off  a much lower mark.

It might be worth taking a risk with another fit from the AW circuit in Luhaif who looks massively overpriced. He is ideally suited to getting an uncontested lead which he has struggled to get on the AW but there don’t look any other obvious front runners in this contest so he may get a soft lead in which case he would be dangerous. His form on turf is perhaps a little more patchy but is therefore 10lb lower on turf and he could be a real threat.

 

1pt e/w Luhaif 25/1 bet365

 

5.10 Windsor

This is a wide open affair with plenty of these having something to prove and a few questionable characters.

I don’t think Doldrums will be with these connections for long she is a moody performer who clearly has ability but prefers to run more bad races than good ones and is one to tread very carefully with and yet to try turf.

Treasure The Ridge showed plenty in Ireland, but yet to show much for this yard on the AW in 2 starts a return to turf may help but more needed.

Golden Jubilee has been kept quite busy on the AW this winter and running respectably most starts, didn’t shape as good last time out and it may be a case he has gone over the top based on that plus this mark might be high enough.

Shades Of Silver makes handicap debut having shown limited level of ability in maidens and mark looks plenty harsh enough for now.

Civil War comes here fit from hurdles and was in some sort of form over hurdles, but soundly beaten favourite last twice. Form on the flat looks very patchy in Ireland but has taken a fall in the ratings so sound chance if able to produce his best but looks plenty short enough.

Afro won over this trip at Southwell in a 4 runner event before being beaten 9lengths into 2nd last time out over same CD off revised mark. Cheekpieces added to the hood today and his only turf win came on soft ground so any further rain will help his cause.

Modem showed a fair level over form in 3 maidens including around here over a mile on soft ground before stepping up in trip dramatically on the AW this winter, that has paid dividends with 4 solid runs with 1 win, only beaten just over a length latest when plenty keen enough without the blinkers on, blinkers back on today and a 1lb lower and if proving as effective back on turf over this trip he could be a huge danger.

 

1pt win Modem 8/1 coral

1pt win Afro 9/1 coral

Selections For Southwell and Lingfield 2nd April

Filed under Tips, April 1st, 2014

3.35 Southwell

Strange looking handicap with a few unknowns in this field but one has caught my eye.

Great Demeanor has shown nothing on flat or over hurdles recently, dropped to a good looking mark but needs to show more.

Pretty Bubbles has proved extremely costly to follow this winter, beaten favourite 5 times from last 8 starts. Well held last time out and now tries this surface for the first time since a maiden run here last August and didn’t overly convince on surface.

Wyldfire only has a maiden win to his name but that came at this time last year when fresh, has dropped a long way in the weight since then but when last seen badly out of sorts and yet to try an AW surface.

Midaz has shown little in 4 runs to date including on handicap debut when not going unbacked last autumn at Kempton. Also had a maiden run on this surface showing nothing so clearly risky but still early days from a respected yard.

Im Super Too doesn’t have the best record fresh and one try here wasn’t inspiring.

Fair Wing has form around here and has dropped to 6lb below last winning mark and has top apprentice jockey taking off 3lb off. The main concern is this trip is possibly too far on this surface wins have come over 6f and 5f and always shown speed around here.

The one that interests me in a race full of questions is Real Tigress impossible to make any sense of her form in Spain to this country but it is interesting they have decided to start her off on this surface given she has form on heavy ground in Spain and that usually translates around here. Also she has gone well fresh in the past.

 

2pt win Real Tigress 5/1 bet365

 

4.55 Lingfield

As far as I am concerned this race has a false favourite simply based on connections and jockey booking, finished last season badly out of form but slipped to 2lb below last winning mark. Its worth noting all 3 wins have come in small fields so that is atleast a bonus today but clearly has something to prove for now and no great shakes fresh.

Mias Boy is consistent but not a regular winner these days and losing stretch is stretching back now, this mark is extremely feasible but this trip stretches him and will find it tough.

Ree’s Rascal won fresh last year but is still 1lb above last winning mark and all best form has come at Kempton.

Syncopate was narrowly beaten last time out 1lb higher mark today, been a little inconsistent recently and just as likely to throw a poor run here.

Dandy was soundly beaten on one try on this surface and has a poor record fresh easy enough to swerve now.

Appease is lightly raced and been running ok this winter without winning since September and looks interesting stepped back up in trip.

Veeraya is another interesting runner stepping up in trip. She has shaped well in 3 starts for this yard and has twice run as if a step up in trip would suit. Shelley Birkett has ridden Lingfield really well a couple times this winter and I have said it before but I feel she is an apprentice to watch this summer.

 

2pt win Veeraya 13/2 bet365

Selections For Kempton 31st March

Filed under Tips, March 30th, 2014

3.30 Kempton

Very uninspiring race with 3 of these racing out of the handicap and of the rest badly out of form bar the obvious favourite who is the obvious starting point.

Adiynara just scraped home last time out over slightly shorter, didn’t appear to be crying out for further but does have the form to suggest she stays this far. 2lb rise fair and still potentially well treated on her Irish form but some time since she showed that and consistency not her strong suit.

Kennys Girl has shown little in handicap company and needs to have improved from when last seen. Isdaal has shown nothing both on the flat and over hurdles this winter and cant be backed. Princess Willow showed some decent enough form last winter but remains a maiden and has shown nothing in 2 runs this winter and handicap slow to relieve the pressure and 2lb out of the handicap today. Lily Edge is also 4lb out of the weights today and has it all to do off this sort of mark on recent efforts.

Pembroke Pride showed first piece of worthwhile form last time out on handicap debut staying despite being hampered but tough ask today running 6lb out of the weights.

Dazzling Valentine might be the small bit of value against a questionable short priced favourite and an uninspiring rest of field. Simply gone through the motions this winter but slightly closer to the action last time out at Lingfield and drops a further 2lb, now 9lb below last winning mark and could take a hand in a weak race.

 

2pt win Dazzling Valentine 7/2 pp

 

5.00 Kempton

From one extreme to another in the staying division, some really useful looking sorts in the last qualifier for the finals day.

Castilo Diablo isn’t totally proven over this trip but appeared to stay last time out in similar affair at Lingfield, headgear back on today which he won in January, perhaps wouldn’t want much of a test at this trip with stamina not totally proven.

Noble Silk finished in front of Diablo last time out not fully exposed yet and could have more to offer.

On handicap ratings Ordensitter has a lot to find with this bunch but is atleast proven his well being recently.

Ranjaan was another in that previous conitions race at Lingfield finishing just behind Diablo, he may well appreciate this longer straight given he looked a little caught out at Lingfield but strictly has something to find on ratings again.

Sir Graham Wade rose to be a really useful handicapper in 2012, quiet season last year but on old form would have sound chances needs to prove still has full ability and record fresh poor.

Thecornishcockney is an interesting runner, should strip fitter for recent runs in Meydan for all they have been poor. Made into really useful handicapper over this CD last winter and on ratings is the best off if anywhere near his best.

Renard has something to find on figures but unexposed stepping up in trip and if that is the key to him he could be a threat especially with Ryan Moore in the saddle.

Duchess Of Gazeley looks a very short price, yes she has been in good form this winter and will appreciate this return to further having finished 3rd in the previous contest which many of these contested at Lingfield. Gets plenty of weight from rivals and not without a chance if wide draw doesn’t impede.

Clowance Estate might be worth a chance in this lineup well drawn for a prominent runner and he looked a handicapper going places last year. Respectable effort at best when last seen in the Cesarewitch but prior to that was progressing nicely through the handicap ranks without winning, but both wins have come when he has been fresh so that may be the key to him returning to action here today.

 

2pt win Clowance Estate 6/1 pp

Selections For Doncaster and Kempton 29th March

Filed under Tips, March 28th, 2014

2.40 Doncaster

Really good renewal for the Cammidge Trophy and last years winner lines up again in Jack Dexter, he has a favourites chance having run well in the Ayr Gold Cup and then the Champion Sprint before winining the Wentworth Stakes (listed) over this CD. Carries a 3lb penalty for that and also drying conditions are unlikely to suit against an improving sort.

This trip looks on the short side for Captain Ramius. Same could be said for Heavens Guest in this sort of contest he may need further than 6f. Both Inxile and Jimmy Styles are useful on their day but neither are getting any younger on seasonal reappearances.

Tropics looked a sprinter going places all year winning couple big handicaps during the summer before never getting involved in the Gold Cup for some reason but bounced right back to his best when looking extremely good in a Group 3 at Ascot when last seen. Return to listed company under penalty holds a solid chance especially with the drying conditions under foot likely to suit better than Jack Dexter.

 

2pt win Tropics 7/2 corals

 

3.50 Doncaster

19 Runners go to post so far in the Lincoln after rain rules out the progressive Captain Cat.

Chookie Royale has been in great form on the AW this winter and unlikely to find this as easy  and always been a little better on AW than turf.

Tullius won some weak looking listed and group race last year, struggled in stronger races since then and likely to find this tougher still although ground will suit.

Levitate won here over 7f in November in really good style an 8lb rise, won this race last year off a 16lb lower mark but may still have more to offer.

Sweet Lightning won this off a mark off 104 in 2011 and the Irish version off a mark of 100 last year, not so good this time round in Meydan but better effort latest so cant be totally ruled out in this.

Gabrials Kaka is useful but his tank often empties near the line which has been the case on so many occasions, will appreciate this drop back to a mile. He isn’t fully exposed and could still have more to offer the drier it gets the better.

Off Art has the most likeable profile for me having had just 4 starts winning his last 3, latest off a 4lb lower mark over this trip at Ayr, appears to handle most ground conditions and won fresh last year. Yard in good form with 3 wins from 7 runners over the last 14 days and he looks well worth his place in this lineup and likely to run his race.

 

1pt e/w Off Art 8/1 coral

 

2.55 Kempton

Rebellious Guest has had a great winter winning 3 races latest off a 8lb lower mark, not disgraced in Winter Derby latest and likely to run his race again but there for all to see he needs to step up again.

Grendisar has strung 2 good efforts together recently latest behind Shavansky, further 1lb higher so now 6lb above last winning mark likely to run his race again though.

Shavansky beat Grendisar last time out running a career best effort at grand age of 10 under this jockey. 3lb rise fair but another career best needed now in a much hotter race for all he is a likeable sort.

Bishops Castle is one of 2 for Ellison and is first in the betting after a light and consistent campaign last year, clearly goes well fresh and won at Wolves this time last year. Clearly could have more to offer.

The other one is Streets Of Newyork who entered my notebook on his last run at Southwell well clearly not handling the kickback but staying on from a mile back after a tardy start. An opening mark of 77 looks fair and clearly unexposed on the flat and looks a lively outsider on handicap debut from a good draw in stall 6 with the step up in trip likely to suit having looked in need of much further on latest effort.

 

1pt e/w Streets Of Newyork 10/1 coral

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