Selections For Lingfield 20th Lingfield

Filed under Tips, December 20th, 2014

3.10 Lingfield
Cardinal might be the one to take a chance on at a price. Tried to run down the impressive Johnny Splash who meets again today. He showed more life than he has recently and he has now dropped to 6lb below last winning mark with top AW jockey onboard today.

2pt win Cardinal 15/2 hills

3.40 Lingfield
Golly Miss Molly is hard to oppose in the last race at Lingfield today. Scoring easily last time out having previously shown plenty of promise stepping up to this trip and blinkers applied. 8lb rise and more to come from her over this trip.

2pt win Golly Miss Molly 9/4 bet365

Selections For Southwell and Kempton 18th December

Filed under Tips, December 17th, 2014

2.00 Southwell
Weak affair with plenty of these needing to step up big time. Carlanda is interesting returning to this surface after a very poor return to action last time out at Wolves over much further. Has run well over CD off marks 4lb higher and could go well returned here.
Generous Dream may be the safest option having gone really well last time out over CD. A repeat of that will be very hard to beat off the same mark. Yard going very strongly at present.

2pt win Generous Dream 4/1 pp

3.30 Southwell
Jacobs Son should benefit for the return to this surface and drop in trip, yet to win off a mark this high but this yard has a good record getting more out of its runners especially around here.
Layline only failed by a short head to Royal Marskell last week and should be able to turn the tables here with a 6lb pull and if getting a better run, Layline remains dangerously handicapped at present.

2pt win Layline 3/1 skybet

7.45 Kempton
Cracking handicap with several of these in good form however Varsovian is hard to get away from. Draw not kindest but overcame that last time out and his run style helps to overcome that aswell. Going the right way rapidly at present over 6f, step up to 7f shouldn’t prove any problems and he has been winning with something to spare but very cleverly which means his handicap mark has been protected latest 3lb rise looks very lenient especially with the 3rd and 4th giving the form a gentle boost.

2pt win Varsovian 4/1 skybet

Selections For Southwell and Kempton 16th December

Filed under Tips, December 15th, 2014

12.25 Southwell
Not a great looking race with most of these having something to prove, but a few usual course specialists here.
Arabian Flight has a fair record here and appears to be running into form on latest start over CD, up a 1lb for that effort and isn’t the obvious sort to follow up here and would require a career best now.
Burnhope is yet to win here however has run well here previously, and has been running consistently this autumn until last time out when he was made too much use of from a wide draw. Morris a stronger booking this time though and yard going well.
Wotalad has been going well recently but is however 9lb above last winning mark, form very patchy around here 2 very poor runs and 1 very good run, risky.
For me Best Tamayuz has the best chance on form, he remains lightly raced with just the 8 starts, bolted up twice in some lowly affairs around here over 7f and 6f, only went down 1/4length last time out off revised mark and only up a 1lb for that and useful apprentice takes off 5lb today. Clearly still going the right way and could prove hard to beat.

2pt win Best Tamayuz 5/2 bet365

3.20 Kempton
Picansort is starting to come back down the weights however has simply been going through the motions latest and more needed.
Doc Hay has been running to a respectable level in claimers latest, however he isn’t over reliable these days.
Salvatore Fury had no excuses last time out and handicap may just been in charge, up a further 1lb and needs a career best effort however has been in consistently good form recently.
Doctor Parkes could be the answer, last scored off a mark of 81 in June, seen doing some great late work over CD last time out off a mark of 82 running off the same mark and has previously won off much higher marks.

2pt win Doctor Parkes 7/2 bet365

Selections For Southwell and Wolverhampton 13th December

Filed under Tips, December 12th, 2014

1.15 Southwell
Grey Mirage appears to be struggling for form since return to action this winter and is yet to try this surface.
Aqua Ardens has done well this year, however looks to be in charge after last run but does go well here.
Pearl Nation has a similar profile had a good season with this yard however handicap looks to have him where he wants him on last 2 runs that said yard seem to always get a bit more out of them on this surface, more needed but not out of this.
Frontier Fighter could prove very hard he is 4 from 8 around this course and 2 from 4 over CD. Latest win coming off a 4lb lower mark, looked badly in need of the run last time out and should strip fitter for that and prove hard to beat back around here.

2pt win Frontier Fighter 2/1 bet365

1.50 Southwell
Woolfall Sovereign has made 2 starts over this CD winning one off a mark of 84 and a solid 3rd off 97, runs off 91 today but returns from a lengthy absence after a light and largely disappointing winter campaign last winter. Record fresh in younger days was good but not so good last couple of years.
Dutiful Son was progressing well when last seen, winning 3 6f races at Kempton up 7lb for latest and not seen since March and left top yard has to be a concern for a horse appearing to be progressing well. Untried on this surface.
Scarborough won 2 small field course races last year making him 3 from 4 around here, however returns to the beach 22lb higher than that last win.
Poyle Vinnie comes from the top yard around here, and appears to still be progressing nicely comfortably pulling clear of a weak looking field. Handicapper taking no chances raising him 8lb could still have more to offer however.
Even Stevens could prove hard to beat returned to his favourite hunting ground 7 from 11 around here and 5 from 8 over CD. Last 2 runs have been steps back in the correct direction, latest 3rd took a nice boost when the winner going well off higher marks in much stronger races. He has fallen to 3lb below his last winning mark and yard are going very well at present.

2pt win Even Stevens 7/2 coral

6.45 Wolverhampton
Sewn Up has been going well recently, up 3lb for latest 2nd and needs more off this mark.
Haadeeth was a winner when last seen on turf, 6lb higher today and just as good on the AW. However this mark has proved beyond him in recent times.
Shirleys Pride won nicely on latest however a 5lb rise and step up in trip are major concerns in a stronger looking race.
Deftera Fantutte could have plenty of potential after just 4 runs in maidens, latest run in maiden a step forward and mark of 60 could be lenient. Kirby also an eye catching booking.
Insolenceofoffice bolted up on penultimate start off a mark of 54, unable to follow up under a penalty under a weak apprentice given a very poor ride. New mark has kicked in today so 4lb higher again and now 10lb above that last winning mark. However Beasley back in the saddle and has won off higher marks in younger days.

2pt win Insolenceofoffice 6/1 bet365

7.15 Wolverhampton
They should go a strong pace around here given there is no shortage of front runners in this field; Clapperboard, Bertie Blu Boy, Spowarticus, and Bonjour Steve all front runners likely to scupper each others chances and set this up for a finisher.
Divine Call took a step back in the right direction latest start at Kempton over 6, dropped a further 1lb but does look about right in the handicap for now though.
Seven Lucky Seven clearly finds winning hard with just one win to his name off a 5lb lower mark, been running well of late without going too close though more needed to be winning.
Aslong as this race doesn’t come too soon Dark Lane could prove hard to beat if the gaps appear like they did at Lingfield, only just caught earlier in the week under an inexperienced apprentice. Gibbons takes over today and runs off same mark, that was a return to form after a dull period and is on his last winning mark.

2pt win Dark Lane 6/1 bet365

Selections for Kempton 11th December

Filed under Tips, December 10th, 2014

3.50 Kempton
A nice class 7 handicap to kick off proceedings here tonight. Quantom Dot remains a maiden after 11 starts, his better efforts have come on this surface, dropped a further 2lb since last run and blinkers tried again. Yard going well but looks very short at 4/1
Warbond is largely reliable on this surface but finds winning hard and not been in great form recently however on a very good mark at his best.
Island Express threw in one of his best efforts to date when 2nd in a maiden last time out over 6f around here that form doesn’t look great and unlikely to back that effort up given overall profile.
Lewamy was well punted on return to action last time out at Lingfield, was unable to live up to expectations being comfortably held in mid division, dropped a lb and cheekpieces removed needs to prove himself at present.
Berwin put a solid effort in off basement mark on latest start, again doesn’t strike as the obvious sort to back that effort up.
Of more interest might be handicap debutant Barwah has certainly not pulled up an trees in 3 maiden runs to date but starts off on a basement mark and with a shrewd yard, been given a short break to freshen up and could go well in this poor affair.

1pt e/w Barwah 12/1 PP

6.20 Kempton
Really good class 2 handicap with some useful AW performers in the field.
Emell has been running poorly in listed events recently and needs to find something more back in handicaps.
Tigers Tale was a solid 2nd behind a Godolphin hotpot last time out, 1lb rise for that fair and is 3 from 9 around here. Yet to win off a mark this high but could still be progressing on this surface.
Ingleby Angel took a step backwards last time out and has found winning hard this year.
Energia Flavio could be dangerously handicapped on his Brazilian form but has struggled to show that in this country.
Lacan looks first string for the Botti yard and was only beaten 1/2length last time out, up a further 2lb for that effort.
Outer Space finished strongly last time out, up a further 1lb for that effort and continues to creep up the weights.
The most progressive is Big Baz he is 3 from 4 on the AW, scored very strongly at Lingfield last time out over a mile. 5lb rise looks very fair on that form and he looks the sort to progress further this winter and is well suited to small fields where he can track leaders and quicken up.

2pt win Big Baz 5/2 bet365

Selections for Lingfield 10th December

Filed under Tips, December 9th, 2014

2.00 Lingfield
Holiday Magic is quite a short price favourite, and he may well bolt in having previously completed a hatrick and looked to be progressing well. However poor run last time out off revised mark is a worry.
Evening Attire wasn’t beaten far last time out 1 behind Holiday Magic, needs to step up again but this is 3rd run back from a break so could improve further.
Corporal Maddox has dropped to a tempting mark and return to 7f will help however not showing enough at present.
Smart Salute was behind Holiday Magic last time out 30 days ago when he won, up 2lb for that effort and more needed.
Dr Red Eye is the only front runner in this field and as long as he doesn’t go off too hard like hehas done the last couple of times he could prove hard to peg back. 1lb below last winning mark and only beaten 1/2length last time out. Yard are also going very well at present.

2pt win Dr Red Eye 11/4 coral

3.00 Lingfield
Big field with several in poor form that said several of these are very well handicapped on their best however most have shown very little recently.
Apache Glory has a reasonable strike rate for a class 6 animal however has just been running to a mediocre level at present and needs to step on last couple of runs. She is now 3lb below her last winning mark.
Day Of The Eagle was not beaten far in a much better race last time out at Newcastle at beginning of October. Runs off the same mark today making AW debut and also stepping up dramatically in trip. Not tried this trip since he was a 3yr old and that has to be a worry despite being on a very lenient mark.
Santadelacruze suddenly bounced back to form at 50/1 last time out when getting caught close home over CD, that form has taken a nice little boost with the 9th and 10th since running well. Up 1lb for that effort and should remain competitive although only placed off similar marks.
Matraash was 4th behind Santadelacruze last time out but he really caught the eye travelling very strongly throughout but had a nightmare of a run through and in the end when the gaps appears was just pushed gently. If the gaps appears and he travels aswell as he did last time out he could prove hard to beat, he is clearly well handicapped on that evidence and is down to his last handicap winning mark.

2pt win Matraash 9/2 pp

Selections For Southwell 9th December

Filed under Tips, December 8th, 2014

1.00 Southwell
Some really good races today on the fibresand with some competitive big field handicaps.
Admirable Art caught the eye last time out over CD finishing well, had previously run well over a mile around here and a concern has to be that he needs that longer trip.
Lendal Bridge has first time cheekpieces on, clearly needs to step up on recent efforts back in handicaps.
Masked Dance is worth keeping an eye on for a yard going well at present, however he has become a very rare winner these days, has dropped to an incredibly dangerous mark and often runs his race around here, but still needs to step up.
Kingsway Lad’s only run of note was on this surface in March. Has been dropped in handicap by 5lb since then so could be competitive. Slight concern how quiet the yard are currently.
Trust Me Boy ran out a solid 3rd at 40/1 last time out around here over a mile, drop in trip shouldn’t cause huge issue. Does need to back that run up but this surface may be the key.
Sairaam ran well at Yarmouth when last seen however, form prior to that was poor and certainly hasn’t pulled up any trees around here recently.
Novalist is the interesting runner for me, caught the eye last time out staying on at the death last time out at Brighton on heavy ground. Has barely ever run a bad race on this surface and has now dropped to 9lb below last winning mark. Could easily run well at a price in this fiercely wide open affair.

1pt e/w Novalist 12/1 bet365

2.00 Southwell
Bognor comes here fresh from a yard going well at present and usually do very well at this course. His record fresh doesnt look great, but has had 1 runs here and won, 5lb higher and could clearly have more to offer on this surface.
Frankthetank is a course specialist 4 wins from 6 starts, latest win was in a seller and 8lb above last handicap win so may just be high enough in the weights for now, and 2 runs since break have been very poor.
Silly Billy has good form around here, record fresh doesn’t shout today is his day, but is on his last winning mark.
Sam Spade another that goes well here but recent come back run didn’t look very promising and has never won off a mark this high.
Uncle Brit scored by a neck over CD in an amateur event, handicapper given him a 4lb harsh rise. Has won off this mark on turf previously so not completely out of this.
Im Super Too might be the one for this race, he stayed on nicely last time out. Handicapper has been quite lenient dropping him 1lb and now drops to last winning mark on turf. 3 Runs on this surface have all been promising.

2pt win Im Super Too 9/2 PP

3.00 Southwell
Really good low grade flying 5f handicap, several in form sprinters and several course winners.
Pearl Noir scored convincingly over 5f at Kempton last time out when going unchallenged in front, unlikely to get such a soft lead under a 6lb penalty. Has never won off a mark this high.
Meebo won her maiden around here, but has struggled since back in handicap and is worth avoiding.
College Doll could go well with his last win coming over CD off a 1lb higher mark, latest runs have however been disappointing.
Lazy Sioux was only beaten a head at Nottingham a month ago, yet to try this surface though and 2lb higher today, an interesting runner.
Wreningham is another worth watching with the booking of Morris is eye catching, showed enough last time out after over 650 days off the track last time out. 4lb below last CD win.
Danzoe finished ½ length behind stablemate last time out at Wolves, runs off same mark today and is also 1 from 2 around here.
Your Gifted has been in good form recently and ran on nicely to lose out by a length at Wolverhampton last time out, has won off much higher marks in the past nowhere near as good as she once was. Has always run well here and should go very well from a high draw.

1pt win Danzoe 8/1 PP
1pt win Your Gifted 8/1 PP

Selections For Lingfield and Kempton 8th December

Filed under Tips, December 7th, 2014

1.30 Lingfield
Small field and only Johnny Splash is the only runner in this in any sort of form really. 4 Length winner last time out over CD, making all totally unchallenged. Handicapper taking no chances putting him up 9lb for that effort and unlikely to get such a soft lead in this small field.
Cardinal has dropped to a good mark, but yet to show enough he is up to winning a present.
Howyadoingnotsobad is another on a lengthy losing run but is another dropped to 10lb below his last winning mark. Needs to show more but another likely to push the lead.
Monarch Maid wasn’t beaten far over CD last time out but does shape as if the handicapper might be in charge.
Billy Red is a useful horse on his day, age is clearly catching up with him over the past couple of years. Reliant on a good break to adapt his front running style. He has brilliant cruising speed if getting to the front, clearly a tough ask in this field but been given a short break to freshen up and should go well in this small field.

2pt win Billy Red 7/1 PP

3.40 Kempton
Hazzaat was fairly consistent on the AW when last seen on the flat, shown very little over hurdles and fences since and has to be watched.
Mighty Mambo was just over a length behind Delagoa Bay last time out over CD gets a 2lb turn around in the weights which should see him turn that around however. Delagoa Bay didn’t boost that form on his latest start at Wolves giving it a weak look.
Gold Bird could be open to further improvement yet especially stepping up significantly in trip and is one to watch for.
Shalambar might be worth a chance in this affair. He ran a respectable race on latest start over 1m4f at Dundalk dropped a lb for that, had previously won around here over 1m4f too. Step back up in trip likely to suit and has won off this mark before with yard going extremely strongly at present.

2pt win Shalambar 9/4 bet365

5.40 Kempton
A dreadfully weak affair that really will not taking much winning. Reality Show does atleast know how to win however has not comeback to racing from a summer break in such good form and needs to show more before of interest.
Harrisons Cave doesn’t shape as an obvious sort for winning around the tight AW tracks, his only UK win was at Ayr, has atleast dropped back to that winning mark.
Golly Miss Molly could prove hard to beat off bottom weight, Morris keeps the ride after promising run over CD last time out when staying on well to finish 3rd in a slightly better looking race than this one. Does need to back that up however which has been her problem in the past but worth a risk in this field.

2pt win Golly Miss Molly 9/4 bet365

Selections For Wolverhampton 6th December

Filed under Tips, December 6th, 2014

6.15 Wolverhampton
Naabegha drops into class 5 for the first time, didn’t show enough last time out at Southwell to suggest his turn was near.
Spellmaker wasn’t beaten far last time out at Bath, better horse on AW but yet to try this surface. Looks plenty high enough in the handicap at present.
Dream Scenario made a promising return to action last time out over CD. Needs to back that up now and bounce factor has to be a concern in this hot little race.
Exceeding Power was 3rd last tiem out over this trip at Kempton 1lb higher today, that was first try at 7f and may have more to offer at this trip.
Gambino won over the extended mile trip around here, 3lb rise fair but drop in trip is a concern.
Hellbender has dropped to a lenient mark but hasn’t shown enough lately.
Smokethatthunders often runs his race around here, only beaten a neck last time out. Handicap mark unchanged and should go well again with Kirby booked.
Khajaaly might be worth risking, has been running consistently recently and latest effort over CD was an improvement staying on well having been hampered on the turn when travelling strongly. Of his 6 wins 5 of them have been around here and appears just as effective on this surface, also 2lb lower today. Yard looked to be going much stronger again after a quieter than normal spell.

1pt e/w Khajaaly 10/1 VC

8.45 Wolverhampton
This doesn’t look the strongest race on paper with plenty of these having a lot to prove at present.
Humour has been running consistently since switching to handicaps, step up in trip could see more improvement.
Its All A Game won over a mile at Southwell latest, 2lb higher today and all AW wins have been on that surface.
Pipers Piping is on a very dangerous mark however doesn’t look like taking advantage at present and is best watched.
Baltic Prince bolted up latest start over 7f at Kempton having won around here over 7f, so surface not a concern. However 3rd quick run, 8lb higher today and step up in trip a concern.
My Renaissance might be the one to take out of this, he was a head second over a furlong further around here, 2lb rise in handicap fair with the winner running well since and also the 3rd. Booking of a Spencer eye catching the only slight concern is the shorter trip but maybe he will be made more use of.

2pt win My Renaissance 7/2 hills

Selections For Lingfield 5th December

Filed under Tips, December 4th, 2014

1.00 Lingfield
Planetoid should take some beating going unpenalised for last winning run in a apprentice handicap, that was over CD. Needs to obviously back that up in a potentially better looking race.
Salient might be the safer option in this field, he too has won over CD recently in a competitive 16 runner amateur handicap, always looked to be travelling nicely before going on nicely in the straight to just hang on. 2lb rise looks fair given Time Square has boosted that form. Kirby looks a strong booking and a good draw also a plus.

2pt win Salient 5/1 bet635

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