Flying Power has 3 wins from 9 starts around here all over todays trip. Largely struggled since winning in July, has dropped to his last CD winning mark, better effort last time out but more still needed to get back to winning ways.
Uphold has been doing nothing wrong in France but chances are this is stronger but is another to drop to his last winning mark.
Arizona John was in good form when last seen but likely to need a run after 290 days off and 5lb higher.
Aryal is typical Johnston horse not many miles, held off his revised mark when last seen nearly a year ago and a further 2lb higher this year clearly capable of more but risky at a short price.
Excellent Puck ran well last time out but doesn’t shape as the sort that is likely to be suited by the step up in trip.
Its hard to ignore Future Security useful form for GoDolphin in 2012, missing the whole of last year but returned recently on the snow in Switzerland winning a local group 2 by a country mile apparently, hard to say what that form is worth but clearly wellbeing proven. First try on AW but the way Wolves rides at present likely to suit given the deep snow surface so there’s a lot to like given he is 4lb below last winning mark and not coming over here from Germany for no reason.
2pt win Future Security 11/4 hills
Not the biggest field and a few have something to prove, none more so than No Comprise who has showed next to nothing in the past year and is impossible to recommend.
Rocky Rebel is atleast in good form at present but this trip is starting to look the bare minimum these days.
Sian Gwalia won for the first time last time out last week over CD, isn’t entirely straightforward but a 4lb rise is fair if in the same form and backing that effort up.
Helmsley Flyer won over CD on penultimate start, wasn’t the greatest race in the world and failed to back that up off revised mark last time out. Might be worth another chance at this trip but had previously stayed the longer trip so bounce back called for.
Grandiloquent narrowly scored over CD last week, wouldn’t be the obvious sort to back that up given his overall profile despite running off same mark.
Pinotage might be worth risking, he is quirky but consistent. Beaten less than 2 lengths by the in form Waving last time out, he remains on his last winning mark and wins have come over shorter trips than last time out so interesting dropped in trip.
2pt win Pinotage 5/1 bet365
Good handicap full of useful fibresand specialists. O’Gorman has only had the 1 run on this surface finishing a close second and clearly handing the surface, that was off a much lower mark though and showed nothing on recent return to action and best watched.
Sleep Blue Ocean won over CD last time out up 4lb but useful apprentice takes 3lb back, but this would take a career best effort and didn’t have a lot to spare last time out.
Powerful Wind looks too high in the handicap at present and also not in much form recently.
Oldjoesaid was in good form when seen but as a 10yr old would expect him to need the run and not a regular winner these days and just mediocre runs on this surface in the past.
Moorhouse Lad was not beaten far last time out on the polytrack, but he is on a huge losing run going back to 2010, but has previously won on this surface but remains one to tread carefully.
Bit annoyed with myself to have missed the price on Royal Bajan, he bounced back to form last time out at Lingfield in a good race. 1lb higher today and never won off a mark this high but his effort last time out was just about a career best and goes well on this surface.
2pt win Royal Bajan 10/3 VC
Not a great race with many of these well out of form or just simply hard to win with.
Orwellian looks a very a risky favourite, he was well held last time out not beating much when finish 2nd last time out over CD, largely consistent but yet to win on AW and on a lengthy losing run.
Vale OF Clara has been consistent and looks ready to win on polytrack soon and probably should have but everytime she has tried this surface she has disappointed.
Diamond Vine, Homeboy and Catalyze have all shown nothing on this surface in limited runs.
Ridgeway Hawk usually runs his race here but has shown nothing since return to action, unseating first time out and then never getting involved last time out and can only be watched.
That leaves Doctor Hilary who has been consistent largely and has twice run well here this season and although yet to win on this surface clearly acts on it and is 8lb below last winning mark and stall 10 not always a negative around here if breaking well enough and looks a decent price.
2pt win Doctor Hilar 13/2 VC
Lady Sylvia showed promise over 7f on penultimate start not so good last time out at Lingfield over todays trip it may be that this mark is beyond her.
Princess Icicle is still unexposed and a promising comeback run last time out, finishing a neck behind Waving who has since gone and won again at Lingfield off 2lb higher mark, she is 1lb higher today slight concern is the drop back in trip doesn’t look ideal.
True Pleasure looked slightly flattered by the result last time out and was ultimately well held and she is 9lb above last wining mark and looks to need help from the handicapper.
Pretty Bubbles was behind Princess Icicle last time out and gets the 1lb turnaround but again this drop in trip is the worry looks to need all of the 1m2f trip last time out.
Marishi Ten could improve for the switch to handicaps but has clearly not been easy to train and risky to back after yet another break.
Medam been running well all winter but handicapper showing signs he is catching up with her at present.
Compton Bird won last time out on the back of a break the bounce factor more of a worry rather than the 2lb rise in weights.
Byroness is a risky one but the price looks too big. Mrs Main has got her flat horses in good form at present with Tokyo Brown winning again last night. Byroness hasn’t shown much on last 2 starts over 7f although can be excused penultimate run (no excuse last time out so does need to bounce back). She has dropped 3lb below her last winning mark and she could run well at a big price.
1pt e/w Byroness 16/1 VC
One of these running in this handicap looks a huge price.
Copperwood is a regular around here with 6 wins around here but he is somewhat in decline on the back of most recent efforts and is hard to fancy despite dropping into class 6 handicap and visor on for the first time.
Indias Song won a seller on penultimate start over CD and ran even better in a handicap last time out when looking a little unlucky and could take all the beating but is a very short price.
Travel is still unexposed and shaped just ok on fibresand last time out may do better switched back to polytrack and does look your typical Johnston runner that will pop up at some point.
Cataria Girl is an interesting runner from the now very small yard of Tregoning, showed very little in 3 maidens but switched to handicap last time out and caught the eye finishing well, runs off same mark but does now need to back that effort up over this longer trip.
Super Duplex looks a huge price in this he stayed on eye catchingly under an inexperienced ride in an amateur handicap, he has dropped to 1lb below last winning mark and looks like a big effort can be expected under professional handling and at a big price.
1pt e/w Super Duplex 14/1 pp
Peace Seeker looks likely to run a big race dropped back to this grade, largely consistent although not seen since December a slight concern and still yet to win off a mark this high.
My Son Max was well held last time out at Wolves over 5f looking lack lustre this step back up in trip may help and is 2lb below last winning mark but hard to recommend on latest run.
Naabegha looks tricky ride and although Kirby booked hard to recommend. Light From Mars is yet to win at this trip and losing run starting to stretch back now.
Valmina was well held of his revised mark and needs to show more to be competitive again. All Toymakers form has been over much further and this seems a strange drop back in trip.
Macs Power is another one on a long losing run but has been in much better form recently and not beaten far last time out but a very frustrating sort these days and one to tread carefully with at skinny prices.
Glastonberry is at the bottom of the weights and might be the one to side with. She is superbly consistent only beaten a short head by Valmina on penultimate start 1lb better off with that rival today and could turn it around. Can totally write off her run in a much stronger race last time out when she made her effort she was badly hampered and eased down. Her run style comes with risks attached but looks good value today off a low weight.
2pt win Glastonberry 8/1 VC
This race should be set up for a closer there are several front runners in this that are likely to cut each others throats.
Volcanic Dust can be forgiven her run last time out when she tried to anticipate the start and ended up with the gate back in her face, she is up 2lb for winning time before, well handicapped but hard to win with and unlikely to get an easy lead.
Likely to be up with the pace is Dishy Guru who has been running well recently without winning and despite being on a very good mark he has had chances off these sort of marks recently.
College Doll is another front runner and not beaten far last twice off her revised mark but looks held. Sarah Berry has been in no sort of form whatsoever and easily overpassed despite dropping below last winning mark.
This race is likely to suit Ishetoo but he is no win machine these days and this looks a better race than his normal these days.
Your Gifted is probably one last chance, she is clearly in good heart at present and the last twice has been running out of the handicap so will appreciate this drop back to class 6 and actually racing off her proper mark. She is well treated on her very best form and this is likely to be run to suit if the gaps appear.
2pt win Your Gifted 3/1 bet365
Short time so these are brief.
An interesting fibresand apprentice handicap with many of these in reasonable form.
Repetition has been in good form on this surface winning 3 starts back and then finishing a length and ½ length last time out behind winners on this surface, a further 4lb rise makes life harder again and needs a career best of this mark.
Silly Billy is usually useful around here disappointing last time out though and needs to bounce back but hasn’t won off this high mark for some years now and enough to prove.
Queen Of Skies has been running so consistently recently but always stays on too late and isn’t entirely straightforward and is no banker.
Basingstoke might be worth risking for his new yard off his new mark, he won a 7f course handicap on penultimate start after a lengthy break off a mark of 64, last time out winning a seller easily and rightly so. Handicapper taken a harsh decision to rise him 11lb for those wins but remains unexposed and especially on this surface and may prove hard to beat if coping with extra furlong.
2pt win Basingstoke 7/2 pp
Very few of these make much appeal and are rightly priced up at 25/1 and bigger already at this stage.
Wyndham Wave is an interesting runner, he has dropped to his last winning mark and Kirby an eye catching booking but yard very quiet, their runners usually come on for the run, he certainly has no record fresh and is not straightforward.
Polydamos is frustrating he is clearly capable of winning a race but he is quirky and doesn’t like hitting the front too soon and easy to look else where for win purposes.
Bennelong bounced back to form in a dreadful race last time out (the fact Zed Candy Girl says it all), goes unpenalised under same jockey today. He is 8lb ahead of the handicapper and is dangerously well handicapped if back at his best but the fact that form looks so weak and wide draw very off putting at a very short price.
Tijuca remains a maiden but ran her best race to date last time out runs off same mark today, Tylicki another good booking drawn in stall 1 and if getting a decent pace to aim at should go well from the inside.
2pt win Tijuca 5/1 bet365
Miami Gator is nothing like his former self at present but is atleast in some sort of form, couldn’t account for Prohibition last time out despite running well a 1lb rise makes life tougher again but is clearly risky at present from a wide draw.
Pour La Victoire was only narrowly beaten last time out run down towards the line, this mark may just be beyond him.
Ferryview Place could be on a good mark but totally relying on market pointing in the direction of a big run given he has shown next time nothing recently.
Fleetwoodsands has dropped to 2lb below last winning mark but had easier chances than this and no tongue tie tonight.
Abigails Angel looks a huge price dropping into 0-55 company for first time. She has been staying on at the death to suggest she is in some sort of form. She has dropped to 17lb below last winning mark, Kirby a strong booking with the first time visor also in place.
2pt win Abigails Angel 8/1 PP
This doesn’t look a great race and the favourite is rightly favourite and hard to oppose so may aswell start and finish there he will be my selection. I tipped him yesterday before he was removed from race on a vets cert for bruised foot fully expect that to be miracously better today given this race looks a lot easier than the one he was in yesterday.
He has improved rapidly with the fitting of the visor and has only been winning by small margins but easily to a certain degree, handicapper appears to be struggling to catchup with him and latest 3lb rise looks very lenient and should take all the beating again today.
Of the others that are worth a note, Standing Strong remains a maiden but better effort last time out but still worth taking on for win purposes. Dawn Rock is open to improvement although hasn’t been seen since August so best watched. Dazzling Valentine is well handicapped on his best form but has returned from a short break with 2 very uninspiring runs and easy to overlook at present.
2pt win Stanlow 13/8 pp
Foie Gras looks held off his current mark despite running respectably of late.
Bertie Blu Boy looks very short in this stronger field today to rack up the 4 timer, he has been subject to some clever rides recently and some poor jockeyship from those behind, he kicked on last time out and none of them could catch him. Up 3lb but jockey claims 5lb today but I would like to think some of his rivals today will no his trick because he is really a one trick pony.
Vermuyden makes handicap debut having shown a little in maiden company, he is likely front runner to taken on Bertie.
Black Truffle is working his way back down the handicap and will appreciate the strong pace likely, he was unable to back up good effort on return from break last time out and therefore has to be watched to see if he can bounce back.
Indus Valley didn’t back his huge gamble win last time out and is a further 4lb higher today and has a lot to prove now.
Littlecote Lady caught the eye last time out at Kempton finishing well, further 1lb higher today and she can often catch the eye and not win 2 wins from 24 runs says it all even at this level.
Lutine Charlie is another with a similar profile not winning all that often but he was desperately unlucky to not get the win last time out nailed just on the line under Queally, Queally on board again today with a 2lb rise in the weights but still some 5lb below last winning mark and would be dangerous to dismiss in race likely to be run to suit.
2pt win Lutine Charlie 6/1 bet365
Peachez has stamina to prove in this and is easy to oppose. Honest Strike is 3 from 8 around here 2 from 4 over CD and although running well recently a further 2lb rise looks harsh and is now 7lb above last winning mark and has a bit of a task on his plate off this sort of mark.
Wheres Susie is badly out of sorts despite being on a dangerous mark. Keep Kicking has won his last 2 starts over CD but they were poor races and this looks a lot better, 7lb higher career best effort required now.
Kings Request won last time out for the first time in his career, scoring well. 5lb rise fair and should go well again but profile little patchy and might be worth taking on.
Cabuchon has been running well over shorter recently, including when winning last time out. 4lb rise fair and likely to go well again off bottom weight. Has run over this trip before and ran ok so should handle this step up in trip again and likely to go well and more consistent than most.
2pt win Cabuchon 9/2 hills
Just the 6 runners in this handicap but not a bad standard for a Monday.
Top Cop has returned from a short break recently and although showing plenty of speed he hasn’t been seeing his races out and doesn’t look a winner waiting to happen. The drop in trip might be worth a try but risky.
Shawkantango has been plying his trade in claimers this winter and running well as should be expected, should find things tougher back in handicaps and never won off a mark this high.
Bapak Bangsawan is consistent but looks somewhat held by the handicapper at present although the return of Spencer is eye catching.
Both Bradley runners Solenm and Island Legend look out of sorts at present despite both being well handicapped.
Your Gifted isn’t entirely straightforward but yard are in much better form recently and he has shaped as a winner waiting to happen in recent runs often denied clear runs recently none more so than last time out, Turner takes over today. She is running 4lb out of the handicap today but is just so well handicapped to ignore having won off a 30lb higher mark at her best and yard had a desperate year last year but doing much better at present. A smaller field should suit a few of these should kick on which will suit and less horses to get in trouble behind today.
2pt win Your Gifted 11/2 bet365
Fantasy King is a bit of an unknown quantity having been doing well over hurdles when last seen in October had gone off the boil on the flat previous to that but back on a good mark, also may find this trip on the sharp these days.
English Summer is more than capable especially in these small fields but been badly out of shapes recently including last time out in a claimer.
Doldrums appears to come with obvious risks attached, she clearly has ability but it totally depends which Doldrums turns up on the day and form is very patchy at present and looks plenty short enough.
Lineman might not be fully exposed and returned from a break last time out with an improved effort but needs to find more to be beating All The Winds who finished in front of Lineman last time out.
Gabrial The Boss is unproven over this trip and has enough to prove.
All The Winds looks ready to strike again, he looked a tad unlucky last time out when finishing well when the winner led from the front and kicked on and got away. He has dropped to 3lb below his last winning mark and if getting the pace to chase and not losing the front end should go close.
2pt win All The Winds 7/2 Boyles
Tough competitive handicap and Reggie Bond looks very short price, he bolted up last time out over CD to break his maiden tag. That was his first time in blinkers so they have to work again. He had John Potts behind him last time out who duly bolted up next time out in an Amateur Handicap. John Potts is 3lb better off today but unlikely to be enough to turn it around if the blinkers do work again.
Angel Cake is another that I would have been interested in had she been a bigger price but she looks very short. She hasn’t been beaten too far recent and has dropped to last winning mark but yet to strike as winner waiting and price hugely off putting.
Polar Forest is consistent usually but remains a maiden and the eye shields swapped for blinkers for the first time and they need to bring about a lot more.
Do More Business another consistent sort at present but is held by John Potts on latest running and looks high enough in the handicap at present.
Stanlow looks the value option having won his last 2 starts, the way he goes about his business he wins a shade cosily without extending and therefore handicapper might be struggling to get hold of him, latest 3lb rise looks more than fair and clearly thriving and going the right way at present and dangerous to dismiss if coping with the slight drop in trip.
Regal Dan is somewhat of an unknown quantity he can go well fresh and this is a much easier race than those he was contesting in the summer, winning once off a mark of 81, now running off 85. Last seen in November on AW debut at Kempton reasonable effort but perhaps needs to show a little more to be winning again on that effort.
Favourite Treat only has 1 win to date in a maiden and has been very much hit and miss since and showed little to get excited about last time out over CD.
Rakaan has been running ok in claimers but will need a lot more to be effective in handicaps.
Combustible is another that has gone well fresh in the past worth noting both his wins have come in 5 runner fields and this is quite competitive for the grade.
Als Memory should tow these along at a good pace and is 2lb below last winning mark but largely out of sorts in recent weeks and best watched until showing more.
Pearl Nation looks somewhat held by his current handicap mark despite running well from it and he remains 4lb above his only winning mark.
It might be worth given Forceful Appeal another chance to follow up his win on his penultimate start winning off a mark of 79 at Wolves over this trip, not so effective under a penalty last time out over todays CD but still appeared in good form finishing well having been trapped wide throughout from a wide draw in a much better race. Drop in grade here and also 4lb lower today and should get the race run to suit in this field.
2pt win Forceful Appeal 9/2 coral
Looks like the just 5 runners likely to lineup with Peachez and Nadema Rose doubtful.
Litmus has been in reasonable form in much weaker races winning a selling handicap last time out over CD, 2lb rise makes this a career best effort was she to win this, also wouldn’t want a tactical race likes to sit behind leaders at a reasonable pace.
Meddling an ex Stoute in mate who didn’t go on from early promise and was beaten at short prices several times failed to show anything on return on debut for new yard, best watched.
Waveguide was suited by getting to the front when winning over CD last time out, he was all out that day and had chances off similar marks as todays 2lb higher and not the likely sort to follow up.
Coillte Cailin isn’t fully exposed having run just 5 times in a maiden slowly stepping up in trip. May need further yet based on his latest maiden win handicap mark not over harsh good chance.
Candy Kitten hasn’t been disgraced in handicaps since winning a maiden 4 starts back, 2 recent efforts at Wolves suggest she should get this trip and should get a good pace given there are several front/prominent runners in this field but is also fairly straightforward and can kick on if necessary should this turn tactical and looks the value in this field.
2pt win Candy Kitten 9/2 bet365
A class 7 handicap bad enough let alone apprentice handicap has the markings of a very bad race and this could easily be a boil over but I am not willing to give up on one of these runners.
Lord Buffhead got up narrowly last time out off a basement mark, 6lb penalty makes this lot tougher but still well handicapped on best form. But he has never backed up a win and often bombs out under a penalty. Also all bar one win has been over 5f and not todays 6f and inexperienced rider today plenty of negatives.
Methaaly could be a threat if getting a pace to aim at which is hard to predict in an apprentice race but you would expect someone to go off to fast, he has been finishing well recently without threatening judge, becoming increasingly frustrating and difficult to win with it would seem.
Lucky Mark is an obvious pace maker in this and although on a good mark hasn’t been setting the world alight yet this winter.
Steel City Boy another prominent runner and on a good mark but didn’t show enough on return to action last week to be of interest.
Vale Of Clara has atleast been in reasonable form, she has been subject to some questionable rides none more so than last time out when asked for an effort all too late and never really got involved. Might be worth a chance at this 6f trip with a more prominent ride under one of the more experienced jockeys today and from a much better draw today, her only win was over this trip on turf.
2pt win Vale of Clara 5/1 pp
This is a weak affair with very few of these in any sort of form or even shown form capable of winning a race.
Miami Gator won last time out having made all, unlikely to get such a soft lead with Una Bella Cosa and Echologic in the lineup so should find this tougher off a 3lb higher mark, he remains dangerously well handicapped but has looked shadow of former self.
Monsieur Pontaven is a capable but doesn’t strike very often and is often best to take him on.
Prohibition won in good style on penultimate start and was still in same form last time out when 2nd off revised mark looking badly in need of a step up in trip gets that today and looks the one to pick up a poor race. Not won off a mark this high but has form off higher marks to put him well in here.
2pt win Prohibition 3/1 bet365
Not the worst class 6 handicap and several of these are in good heart at present.
Greenhead High has won on polytrack but is much more consistent on fibresand, he is now 5lb below last winning mark but not been at his best this year so far and held in fibresand sellers recently including yesterday so probably needs to step up back in handicap on polytrack.
Excellent Aim didn’t shape too bad last time out over 5f around here after a break, but again been off the track for a couple months and that is a worry. 6f shouldn’t be a problem but doesn’t look as effective on polytrack as turf so mark might be high enough for now.
Teen Ager is a tricky customer but he can be quite useful at this level when things go right and the gaps appear, just a modest run last time out on return from break and never won off a mark this high.
Rise To Glory likes an uncontested lead, ran ok last time out but that was only a 5 runner event and this looks more competitive and yet to win off a mark this high.
Volito has ran 2 solid effort in defeat latest in the hood, but today the hood has been removed which is slightly strange and also has a very poor strike rate and inexperienced apprentice takes ride.
Given all of these are exposed and most are on marks they have never won off it might be worth risking Harvest Mist who goes particularly well at Wolverhampton, she is fairly straightforward can go from the front or just sit behind, back to form last time out when only narrowly beaten by a well handicapped rival pulling well clear of the remainder, 3lb higher but clearly in good heart and should run well.
2pt win Harvest Mist 7/2 VC
Desert Strike is still 1lb above last winning mark, but has won off higher marks. Good effort last time out but still well held and will need to step up on that to be winning this.
Sir Geoffrey would make more interest back at Southwell and not so good at Wolves last time out and best watched.
Roys Legacy has a decent strike rate for this level, been in good form recently struggled to shrug off latest rise last time out but still good effort and a repeat of that returned to this trip may see him go close again although wide draw tough again.
Pull The Pin another consistent one recently but this mark looks tough on recent efforts.
Iffranesia is the least exposed of this lineup and has won 3 from her 6 starts in this country. 3lb higher today in a much tougher race but may progress further yet.
Lisa Williamson has her string in much better form recently and Your Gifted looks like one that will take advantage of a generous mark soon, 30lb below last winning. She isn’t straightforward and looked a tad unlucky last time out to not finish closer (winner was easy winner) having met trouble she still finished well. Well drawn again today and plenty of pace on this race should suit her if the gaps appear.
2pt win Your Gift 8/1 PP
Commissar won last time out after a 3 month break 4 days ago so the bounce factor is a bit of a concern stepped back up in trip, useful apprentice does claim 5lb of the 6lb penalty back today but this is a quick turnaround and looks a delicate sort given the regular breaks between racing.
Top Diktat won a claimer last time out in eye catching fashion but handicapper also noticed it and given him a harsh 7lb rise in the weights and had plenty of chances off lower marks before that rise.
Ssafa was a winner last time out 3lb rise looks fair, not seen for nearly 3 months slightly strange but might not be fully exposed over this sort of trip and on the AW.
Triple Chocolate looks very interesting only had 2 runs winning first time up around here over 7f, good effort in handicap company next time out over same trip staying on and looking like he would appreciate a step up in trip so this should suit and clearly still has more to offer. Wide draw is slightly off putting but the theory is he will be held up to guarantee he gets the trip might not be the worst thing.
2pt win Triple Chocolate 11/2 pp