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Saturday 3rd April
3.15 Kempton
Black Dahlia has run 2 solid efforts at this level over this course,
was rather disappointing back in handicap company last time but hopefully
bounce back today and should run her solid race again. The other interest
is Island Sunset who has thoroughly earnt her position in this line up
even perhaps somethings to find on OR she is progressing nicely though and
unbeaten in 4 starts so far on the aw she has well earnt her place.
0.25pt e/w black dahlia 12/1 bet365
0.25pt e/w island sunset 5/1 bet365
3.50 Kempton
Blimey AW handicaps dont get much harder than this. Bravo echo has
improved throughout the winter and appeared to have something to spare
when beating autumn blades last time out up a further 5lb for that effort
and certainly on an upward curve. Having said that Autumn Blades is
another worth consideration having improved massively throughout the
winter up a further 2lb for latest effort but probert onboard again and
gets on well with him and also visor fitted again, he is drawn widest
stall but is perhaps not a massive problem as he likes getting cover and
being presented late. The Scorching Wind is worth considering having been
well backed last time out on the back of winning his super 7 qualifier
infront of Bravo Echo but was badly hampered last time out and if all is
well and thats forgotten he could go close but I have a niggling concern
he is higher enough in the weights nowadays. And finally
Rileyskeepingfaith is a lightly raced gelding who is open to any amount of
improvement on the back of some solid efforts in dubai off a 1lb lower
mark and should find this easier having not been disgraced in group
company a couple of times last year.
0.25pt e/w Autumn Blades 20/1 pp
0.25pt e/w Rileyskeepingfaith 9/1 vcbet
0.5pt e/w Bravo Echo 6/1 hills
4.55 Kempton
Kristallo is 2 form 3 on the AW recently but was made to work hard last
time out and in this better company may find 3lb rise enough to hold off
the hatrick. For me the most interesting runner has to be Cold Turkey who
landed a big gamble over CD 9 days ago off a career low mark and is still
extremely well handicapped on old form and although not force of old he
should be capable of landing this off just a 6lb higher mark. The other I
will have as a saver is Oxford City who was taken out during the week
obviously with this in mind and was ready to tap into him but not quite so
keen in this race he is unproven over this trip on the flat but did shape
last time out as a step up in trip wouldnt be a bad choice and if seeing
the trip out he looks well handicap on irish form.
0.75pt win cold turkey
0.25pt win oxford city
3.35 Dundalk
Ryan had both Arganil and Green Manalishi entered for this earlier in
the week and has opted for Green Manalishi who ran a solid race behind
Jaconet last month at this level at lingfield and Ryan and Spencer are
certainly not gonna waste a trip over here and has gone well round here
before and should hold a solid claim in this race.
1pt win Green Manalishi
Wednesday 31st March
3.30 Southwell
Competitive at tope of handicap with several of these closely matched
and extremely weak at the bottom end! I am gonna take a chance on Mr
Funshine to build on his penultimate start when winning quite
convingcingly over CD on penultimate start never given a chance last time
when badly hampered at wolverhampton.
0.25pt e/w mr funshine (if 5/1 or over if not just 0.5pt win)
4.00 Southwell
Interesting little handicap with several of these have a bit to answer
as to why they have been off the track for so long but they bring some
useful form and represent some strong stables but might worth chancing the
course speciliast Lucky Punt who has had a winter break since winning his
last start over this course winning by 5lengths easily, up a further 6lb
but appears to go strength to strength round here with 6 starts winning 5
and 2nd on his other and has gone well fresh before.
1pt win lucky punt 11/4 pp
6.00 Kempton
Itsalreaydthursday is worth an ew shout after a much improved effort
last time out at Wolves and now dropped another 2lb, he won a maiden in
june and then went on to contest some hot stake races which did his
handicap mark no good but now on his way down to a possible mark and
should be thereabouts from a decent draw in stall 8.
0.25pt e/w itsalreadythursday
8.00 Kempton
Another decent handicap with half the field in good form and showing a
likeable attitude in places mainly in ocford city, free tussy and jeer and
trachonitis and confidentially can often be counted upon to run their
races but have seriuous doubts about both in this field with the first 3
showing much better attitude recently. Jeer was a decent winner last time
out and still looks well handicapped on turf form concerned that he might
struggle in this better race today. Free tussy is another that has been
solid races lately but looks plenty high enough in the weights right now.
So that leads me to Oxford City who is actually 1lb out of the handicap
but ran an extremely solid and eye catching race last time out and could
be well handicapped on his irish form.
0.5pt e/w oxford city 9/2 bet365
Monday 29th March
3.20 Wolverhampton
Justcallmehandsome has shaped as though he is in good form recently
totally outclassed 3 starts ago out of the handicap 11lb but still shaped
well for most of the race but has since come out and put 2 good efforts in
recently and only had the unexposed and useful looking dajen in front last
time out over CD, and Kelly appears to get on well with the horse.
0.25pt e/w justcallmehandsome
3.50 Wolverhampton
Interesting little race with some potentially useful 3yr olds.
Breathless kiss has potential and has to be a concern with the Spencer
& Ryan combination but been a little disapponting last 2 outings and
also shown best form over 5f not 6f. So that leaves me with 2, one being
Niran for Clive Brittian he won 2 ok races last year and was well held in
group2 company but got back to winning ways on penultimate start up 4lb
for that effort and although rather worringly never looked to be going
anywhere last time out I feel that needs to be forgotten about hope he can
bounce back with my fav jockey Callan on board and also stepping back in
trip. Dusty Spirit was second to Jarrow on first start for over 130days
and that was on the back of a busy 2yr old campaign with some useful
placed form and J dean has got on well with this horse and gets to run off
same mark todayif able to build on that second.
0.5pt win dusty spirit
0.5pt win Niran
4.20 Wolverhampton
Hard to oppose William Way still well handicapped on old form and won
extremely well on penultimate start and lost little in defeat last time
out to the well treated kames park on his old form and might be worth
another chance now stepping back up in trip he looks an out and out stayer
these days.
1pt win williams way
3.10 Lingfield
Very few of these get me thinking they have a chance but Poppanan could
be an interesting runner if he is fully fit and it right frame of mind.
Reasonably lightly raced for a 4yr old having only 6 runs to date and did
manage a win in maiden company at bath but did put several good enough
efforts together in better company than this off a 3lb higher mark and
defenetily found 7f to stamina stretching last time out which resulted in
the 3lb reduction so fair chance back over 6f today.
0.25pt e/w poppanan
4.40 Lingfield
Weak even for the grade and would be no surprise see Moore getting his
season off to a good start on the slightly quirky Charlie Smirke often a
strong traveller but often gets going to late so has won once with a well
timed ride to win extremely easy on penultimate start off a 7lb lower
mark, was better than bare result last time out when no whips were allowed
to use and got going far too late again under an inexperienced apprentice
and gets to run off same mark today.
1pt win charlie smirke
Friday 26th March
3.15 Lingfield
Poor field for the grade and it might be worth taking a chance on
financial times in a field that you can have questions about every runner.
He was once very useful on the aw and sure to come on for the run last
week his first for nearly 2 years and is only 2lb higher than last win and
would be no big surprise to see him run a better race if able to get cover
this time and settle.
0.25pt e/w financial times
4.25 Lingfield
Another weak looking race but again it might be worth giving mr plod a
second chance on the back of a 100 day break, he was a very impressive
winner on penultimate start and gave the shape as if there was a lot more
to come off a much higher mark but never got going last time out one would
guess they found something wrong to give him the break and if everything
is ok and fully wound up he could be very interesting.
0.5pt e/w mr plod
5.00 Lingfield
Best race on the card by far Negotiation is potentially open to plenty
of improvement but was a disappointing flop when last seen and aw surface
also an unknown. Officer in command warrants a lot of respect having only
found december draw too much in a much hotter race last time out but has
gone up 4lb for that which for me leaves me with Island Sunset who is up
6lb for narrow victory last time out, he has now won 3 from 3 and is the
one open to a lot more improvement than others although 6lb does look a
little harsh on paper but that trip looks a little short and will
apprecaite this step up in trip today.
1pt win island sunset
5.40 Wolverhampton
Rathbawn girl is a f/c sp of 25/1 on ATR which looks huge and is
currently trading at 12/1 on BF which i would be happy with in the
morning. She is a prominent racer but never got that chance last time out
and prior to that was raced over a mile which stetched her and has run her
best races over 6f will tackle that tonight for the first time in handicap
company and might be worth a chance in this weak field.
0.25pt e/w rathbawn girl
6.10 Wolverhampton
Le Toreador didnt need to be anywhere near his best to land a 4 runner
handicap a month ago over this trip at lingfield but he couldnt have been
more impressive up 4lb for that effort can continue his good aw record
with 3 wins from 4 so far and still looks to be improving.
1pt win le toreador
Thursday 25th March
7.50 Kempton
Lucky Redback is probably worth another chance after clearly undone by
a muddling pace last time out and is sure to improve for another run under
his belt, he was impressive on penultimate start off a 3lb lower mark
blinkers are fitted today which should be an improvement as he clearly
isnt an easy ride often looks hard work to get going at time.
Dinner date would be extreme interest if all 8 runners go to post for
e/w purpose always runs solid races around here.
1pt win Lucky redback
0.25pt e/w dinner date
Wednesday 24th March
5.50 Kempton
Cant see many front runners in this race they nearly all likely to sit
off the pace the only front runners I can see is Rosy Dawn who is clearly
not at the best right now and New World Order who is better drawn and ran
a better race last time out off same mark today has cheekpieces fitted for
the first time today and may well just bring out a little more. The other
interest is Carr Hall who ran a good race last time out 2 months ago going
down to formiddable guest by a head who has gone on to win twice off a 5lb
higher mark and the rest of the form looks solid for the grade, this is
first time out for a yard that can do no wrong right now Carrol.
0.25pt e/w new world order
0.25pt e/w carr hall
6.20 Kempton
Wetherby place last run is best ignored was badly hampered and never
got going afterwards but had previously been running well and looks worth
a try over a slightly further trip.
0.5pt e/w wetherby place
7.20 Kempton
Wotashirtful shapes as though he can win right now but he just always
apears just held on the line and is becoming frustrating, Sherjawy had a 4
runner race turn out his way last time out and perhaps is a little
flattered by that and would be a surprise if wotashirtful turned the
tables. But it might be worth taking Lord of The Reins he needs races turn
out his way a strong pace to come off last time he got that from the
extremely fast Glamarous Spirit who done the form no harm at listed level
last weekend, he is up 2lb for that and is still well handicapped on old
form and should get a race run to suit with ocean blaze and wotashirtful
in the lineup.
1pt win lord of the reins
8.50 Kempton
Plenty of runner and plenty of questions will be looking to play 2 in
this field them being Whodunit who ran away with a seller on penultimate
start before second to the unexposed franco is my name and is clearly in
good heart an extra 3lb to find but Carson booked to ride again. The other
I will be playing is Cross the line who has a good record on the AW and
often runs well here and has rarely needed a run to get into the swing of
things so certainly could figure off a tumbling mark (9lb lower than last
win). Will stake when prices come out also wouldnt discount Sapphire
Prince nor Resplendant Nova who may be found out by this trip.
Monday 22nd March
Relatively poor card from Wolverhampton, and sorry for brief write ups
hurt me finger/hand today not easy to type.
2.20 Wolverhampton
Dianes Choice won on penultimate start quite easily admitly weak
handicap but todays no better was unable to shake off 6lb penalty 2 days
later perhaps race came too soon returns after 25days today and only 3lb
higher for that win and should be well on the scene with last race form
looking extremely solid for the grade.
0.25pt e/w Dianes Choice
3.50 Wolverhampton
Turf season upon us 3 yr old race need to be studied now and Brittains
Srda stands out a mile as being quite well handicapped off a mark of 71
having beaten a now 73 rated horse in 3rd who went on to win n maiden
company and 4th also gone on to land a claimer in good fashion. She
actually holds an entry into the Oaks and will need to be rated more than
71 to be considered for that so perhaps she is a little better than this
grade and takes the step up in trip needed to land ablow in that event
certainly a very interesting runner.
1pt win srda
4.50 Wolverhampton
Make Amends is seeking a hatrick and although up another 4lb for latest
win she is a real fighter in the finish and her attitude stands her in
good stead in this field. The other interets is the long standing maiden
Tropical Blue consistent and should be capable of picking a prize up soon
was 3lengths down on the useful benedict spirit before he went on to win
again and is up 1lb for that effort and his best races have come under
this jockey.
0.5pt win make amends
0.25pt win tropical blue
5.20 Wolverhampton
There arent many horses at this level you grow to love but Bluebok is
one I have he really is a tough cookie barely ever runs a bad race and now
running off a 5lb lower mark than last win and J Dean is finally back in
the saddle and claiming a useful 3lb and should land one of these little
races sooner or later, good draw aswell today in stall 5.
0.25pt e/w bluebok
Saturday 20th March
Well AW racing doesnt get much hotter than this card on Winter Derby
day and a real sign the flat season is upon us HOOOOOOOOORAY!!
1.55 Lingfield
Hard to rule out to many of these especially considering this is a
'hands and heels' apprentice race but it might be worth following Charlie
Smirke for a follow up effort, he was starting to get a reputation for
being ungenuine because he had 5 2nds in a row but Baker assured punters
he wasnt and he made it look easy last time out up 7lb for that effort 3lb
offset by jockeys claim and sure to give his running having had a short
break.
0.5pt e/w charlie smirke
2.25 Lingfield
Perhaps not a race to get involved heavily with as many of these are
closely matched on recent CD runs in qualifiers and that makes it hard
from a punters view but I am a big fan of Autumn Blades and I believe is
over priced at 10/1 has been running over trips too far last twice
although running with credit first time pushed very wide and last time
jockey dropped reins. Probert gets on well with the horse and cheekpieces
were ditched last twice and interestingly visor is tried again and I cant
see any reason why he wont run a solid race. From the scoop 6 point of
view this would be a leg that may be worth one or more option.
Everymanforhimself won last time out but had things perhaps in his favour
last time out and faces a stiffer mark today. The scorching wind has a
good record on the AW and is perhaps the most progressive in the field.
Bravo echo is another progressive sort but was a head short on scorching
wind 1lb better off at the weights which would put them closesly matched
and is lightly raced but wide draw wont help this prominent sort.
0.5pt e/w Autumn Blades 10/1 bet365
3.00 Lingfield
In all honesty I havnt paid much attention to the 3yr olds lately
simply lack of time likely to come into my betting soon but will be
playing this one as I have watched Grey's last 2 races in handicaps and
very impressive!
Hard to oppose Greyfriarschorista absolutely thrashed everything he has
been faced with since going handicapping and looks well upto a crack at a
listed race and is the one to beat especially with confirmed polytrack
success.
1pt win Greyfriarschorista 5/2 bet365
3.35 Lingfield
Dalradian has to find a little bit on official figures but is
progressing extremely well and looks unexposed especially over this sort
of trip having won over this CD very easily in handicap on penultimate
start. But having said that they will all have to go someway to beat
Tranquil Tiger who is now 2 from 2 over CD both in listed affairs
trouncing Presvis and just get the better of Suits Me, goes well fresh and
Queally gets on extremely well with the horse. Stotsfold comes into this
the highest rated on OR but would have 1lb to find on Tranquil Tiger if
this was a handicap held hot company last 2 years and did manage a win in
group3 company at Longchamp acts on the surface and could be dangerous if
all is well and has gone well fresh before. Typically the french raider
looks over priced at 9/1 comes here in good form with 2 wins recently at
Cagnes including a listed affair and has previously won a group3 and would
be dangerous to dismiss. Personally cant cant have Soul City useful as a
juvenile has several questions to answer now on polytrack debut, stepped
up in trip and concerns as to why he has been off the track so long also
likely to get pestered for the lead from the ultra tough Suits Me who
couldnt have for the win purpose often set the race up for others but
nonetheless is a toughy that ought to be a banker for the placepot imo!!
0.25pt e/w Dalradian 9/1 bet365
1pt win Tranquil Tiger 10/3 pp
4.10 Lingfield
Dance the star won very easily when last ridden by Spencer didnt run to
bad last time out off revised mark but his style does cause problems but
suits spencer if he gets it right and will need a career best.
Becausewecan has some useful form in the book and was last seen winning a
valuable handicap at newmarket off a 5lb lower mark also has good form on
AW with a win and 2 seconds has run well fresh before and yard can ready
them if they want and market vibes important. Cluain Alain is an ex Oxx
inmate and would be interest again if backed for a yard that does well
with these sorts and often backed off boards if they do go well! Benedict
spirit showed he is still in good form when 2nd yesterday at fakenham but
unlikely to turn up for this surely! Cashpoint is relatively unexposed
having won a weak NHF and a weak maiden last time out his opening mark
looks a little harsh and would need to be something special to defy it in
this company! Sworn Tigress is perhaps worth some credit after her
performance last night she clearly got too far behind and wide throughout
had little to offer with the winner who made all and flown nest but she
did stay on well and if she can cope with another race in quick succession
(you will know she is backed VERY heavily everytime now) back up in trip
and inside draw will be easier to be up there this time
1pt win sworn tigress
0.5pt win becausewecan
4.45 Lingfield
This really does look a favourites affair at Lingfield today Jaconet
could take all the beating even though stepping back in trip with
questions over whether she is better over 6f although has won 3 times over
5f and if she is fit she should be well in here drawn well to get to the
front and certainly doesnt lack speed for this trip. Glamorous Spirit
might also be worth taking a chance with in this grade clearly a little
bit to find at the weights and OR but he is similar to Jaconet in that he
will bolt for the line and has everychance of atleast plugging on for a
place should the race turn into one where nothing comes from behind and
well draw again to do just that
1pt win jaconet
0.25pt e/w Glamorous Spirit
Friday 19th March
3.45 Lingfield
Lady kent finally opened her account last time out on british soil, she
carries some useful form in ireland and although the win last week came
over 7f she has solid form over a mile and appears to possibly need
further often digging deep in closing stages to get up in dying moments up
just 2lb for that effort which seems lenient for a potentially progressive
sort.
1pt win lady kent
5.50 Wolverhampton
Tight handicap with 6 runners many of these appear in good form but it
might be worth giving Anne of Kiev one final chance, she needs a strongly
run race as she has an extremely smart turn of foot whe things go right
unfortunately the front pair got away last time out but she stayed onwell
to suggest she is still in form. Her best form has also come over this CD
so of far more interest round here.
1pt win anne of kiev
8.50 Wolverhampton
Sworn Tigress is clearly better than class 5 handicap and is still 5lb
well in even under a double penalty and handicap rise, she romped home by
over 9lengths last time out 19lb rise unlikely to course to much trouble
the way she won last time out.
2pt win Sworn Tigress
Thursday 18th March
2.30 Southwell
SpicnSpan might be worth taking on at a short price as he is yet to win
a handicap off a mark this high and last 2 wins have come in CD sellers
clearly in good with a decent enough 2nd last time out when chasing the
useful wheres riley but even so value could be elsewhere. Pennyspider
might be worth taking a risk on making fibresand debut been off the track
for 543 days when we saw her a week ago in a claimer ran creditably and
should come on from that run only 2lb lower than last win, she is a Bath
speciliast on good/soft ground which would suggest she should enjoy the
fibresand.
0.25pt e/w pennyspider
4.25 Southwell
Decent looking class 3 handicap over the flying 5f. Rebel duke beat the
useful Nickel silver when we last saw him who has since gone on to win
again twice off a 4lb higher mark concern is that most wins have come
quickly after a race (all bar maiden win) and he has now had a 76 day
break. Arthurs edge looked to be improving landing back to back handicaps
before going on to be second in listed company last time out but never
gone well fresh and tries fibresand first time. Thebes is clearly in form
having finished a fantastic second to the very useful Tiddliwinks at the
weekend also beat onceuponatime prior to that and actually recieves 9lb
from him today because he has won since and runs under a penalty and
handicap rise which makes things tough for him. Pawan has plummeted in the
weights and is a useful sort but you can guarantee he will be nearly 10lb
over weight because of his hopeless rider aswel as already being 1lb out
of the handicap which is sad really as he is potentially well treated now
and stables runners appear to be picking up. Wheres riley takes a big step
up in class but has been improving at rapid knots over CD and was
impressive last time out but 16lb rise in weights (under penalty) is a big
ask but even so clearly improving, the other interesting runner is
Rievaulx World who held hot company last year group and listed company and
had little joy but first try on fibresand he could well be well
handicapped having only raced once in handicap company running away 6
lengths clear of second off a 10lb lower mark 2 years ago.
0.5pt win thebes
0.25pt e/w wheres riley (if over 4/1 if under 0.5pt win)
0.25pt e/w rievaulx world
5.05 Southwell
Reverend green is an interesting runner in this tight looking handicap
having won a NHF race over this track during the cold snap and then
winning a maiden in good style no match for the useful Spruce last time
out but remains unexposed and open to further improvement off a 1lb lower
mark.
0.5pt win reverend green
6.45 Wolverhampton
Thunderstruck ran a good race in defeat last time out clearly in real
good heart currently and runs off same mark today loves get his own way up
front and should get just that especially from stall 1, Perpetually may
remain the biggest threat if coming on for the run as he remains unexposed
and same can be said for the useful looking december draw.
0.5pt e/w thunderstruck
8.45 Wolverhampton
Granny Mcphee may be worth another chance in this company, was a good
second to the useful franco is my name 3 starts ago followed that up with
an extremely good win in similar race clearly found the race coming too
soon the next day to follow up had a few weeks off up 5lb for that win
which is offset by a capable 7lb claimer.
0.5pt win Granny Mcphee
Wednesday 17th March
Sorry these are brief Cheltenham rules the roost this week even for
me!!
2.30 Southwell
Weak race which should be dominated by the 2 market leaders
Whatyouwoodwishfor and Brittains Hypnotist always worried about opposing
an inform Brittain horse but this is his first try on fibresand where as
Whatyou has won over CD last twice on first occasion beating the inform
fuzzy cat and then Tobrata last time out, up 5lb more today and clearly
going well right now may prove hard to pin back, the other interest might
be Nicholls horse who is an irish purchase who is a front runner which is
a good thing round here so any market move would be of keen interest.
1pt win Whatyouwoodwishfor
3.05 Southwell
If Just Five is of strong interest in this race if back on song now as
a 4yr old won a decent handicap at Beverley on penultimate start before
disappointing on polytrack but has a good record around here 2 from 4 and
the other runs are placed efforts. Makin keeps the ride again.
0.5pt e/w Just Five
4.25 Southwell
Veloso won extremely cosily last time out step up in trip doesnt look a
problem and running under a penalty today and will be 6lb well in when new
mark comes into effect this saturday.
1pt win Veloso
7.20 Kempton
Lucky Redback won extremely well at lingfield over a possibly
unsuitable 6f stepped back up to ideal 7f today (found things happening to
quick at the beggining of the race but stayed on well), that was his first
run for nearly 500 days he remains unexposed and 3lb looks an extremely
light handicap rise and has the look of a slightly better than a plain
class 4 handicapper.
2pt win lucky redback
7.50 Kempton
A listed affair but an extremely weak one with several potential
unknowns and several of the other higher rated rivals have something to
prove right now which leaves me with the unexposed Spruce who is improving
at rapid rate of knots admittly been running in weak handicaps recently
but he has been doing it with extreme ease and has a smart turn of foot
just as at home on polytrack as the fibresand and looks like he could be a
value bet.
0.5pt e/w spruce
Tuesday 16th March
1.20 Southwell
Punching is clearly in good form with a good second over CD last week
when outside handicap by 1lb but gets in this race of top weight and
something niggling me he isnt one to followup runs very well plus this
mark is high enough for him. Pipers piping is now seeking the hatrick and
only up 3lb for latest win which is fair enough ad use of claimer offsets
that big concern is the experience of the jockey which is minimal. Fulford
is becoming costly to back but has lost little in defeat recently it maybe
worth taking a risk with Efisio Princess especially if we can get 8 to
post and fully tuned up after another small break, she goes well fresh and
has run her best races over this CD and although doesnt look that well
handicapped she may have more to offer if they can get her back on
song.
0.25pt e/w Efisio Princess
3.45 Southwell
After the show finally took advantage of a tumbling mark when getting
in front of the inform sherjawy over a month ago, returns to southwell
today off a 3lb higher mark and if back on song she could pose as a threat
having won off a mark 14lb higher over 6f here. The other one that maybe
worth another chance is Trick or Two who looked rather one paced at
wolverhampton on friday night but did just keep plugging away and that
sort of style should be far more suited to this surface and his only win
comes over CD in a seller.
0.5pt win After The Show
0.25pt e/w Trick or Two
Saturday 13th March
2.15 Wolverhampton
Decent enough listed event and although several of these a running off
marks in 100+ but most of them not really running to their mark at the
moment where as completely different can be said about the inform Mahadee
for the in form Brittian yard. He won a handicap in good style on
penultimate start and was seen last time out finishing all to late to
force a dead heat and showed that he can handle a sharper 7f, Callan takes
the ride again and should be well up for this on the back of these latest
efforts. Mias boy could pose the biggest threat barely ever running a bad
race, effective on the aw and goes well fresh.
1pt win mahadee 11/4 sj
3.25 Wolverhampton
2 weeks until the start of the flat season and this warm up trial to
the curtain raiser for the season. Flipando bounced right back to his best
last time out when easy winner over an unusual 6f for him, be interesting
to see how he goes back over this trip again today off a 10lb higher mark,
but did win this race last year off a 4lb lower mark. Collateral Damage
was in fine form last year up another 4lb and un proven on the aw surface,
but has gone reasonably well when fresh. Autumn Blades has been in
cracking form this winter and always appears to give his running at the
moment and his last run can be forgiven pushed so wide around the bend and
he is better than that right now only concern is this marked step up in
trip. Another useful sorts to come out of the wood work this winter is
Black Dahlia she has run 2 solid races in listed company but a big concern
has to be she is now 19lb higher than last win in handicap because of
those 2 runs and surely they arent gonna want a penalty on top of that for
the Lincoln.
0.5pt e/w Autumn Blades 12/1 sj
0.25pt e/w Collateral Damage 10/1 sj
4.35 Wolverhampton
Useful class 2 handicap, with 3 good inform sprinters lining up that
interest me the most. Tiddliwinks was progressing very nicely over the
winter up a total of 21lb since first handicap win, and last win came off
a 8lb lower mark and probably best forgetting his last run she might prove
better over 6f than 7f and has a smart turn of foot. Thebes is a useful
performer but does tend to be a bit hit and miss but did get back to
winning ways last time out up just 2lb for that effort and 2nd has gone on
to win since and would suggest the form could be quite useful but perhaps
worth taking on consistency stakes. Bajan Tryst has been in good form
recently but was well held by Flipando last time out off new mark and
unlikely to get own way upfront.
1pt win Tiddliwinks
Thursday 11th March
Sorry these are a bit rushed and brief.
2.50 Southwell
Amazing Blue Sky makes a reappearance today, although not won on
surface does seem to go well on it and finished last year on a high when
stable going through a smart patch, yard not in same form currently and he
will need a career bets today. Whooshka won well enough last time out
beating the useful miss christophene, she did hang quite nastily and new
handicap mark and 6lb penalty make her 11lb worse off although is
unexposed. But I really like the look of Eseej again around his favoured
southwell, hes not always the easiest to predict but to recent efforts of
this mark off a lot more hope than most and useful Carson takes a handy
3lb off and last win came off a mark of 72 runs off 70 today.
0.5pt e/w eseej (if 8 runners if only 7 runners or less 1pt win)
3.55 Southwell
Not a single one of these can be crossed out completely. Bel Cantor is
likely to get to front in this field today like he did when he won on
penultimate start before being out of his depth in listed company last
time out punching may take him on for the lead but is likely to sit just
behind and if thats the case Bel Cantor could quite easily slip the field
on the back of some very good runs recently. Onceuponatime has been a
consistent horse recently and although has placed efforts round here never
won round here but has been running in slightly better races than this.
Hits only jude is course specialist and finaly back to her best last time
out but never looks easy or one to possible follow up really.
1pt win Bel Cantor
6.00 Wolverhampton
Im a big fan of Baylini but she loves Lingfields speedy downhill corner
at the finish and always tends to flop away from Lingfield so for that
reason I have to oppose her tonight. Stand Guard will need an uncontested
lead to show his best which he maynot get with thunderstruck in the field.
And the rest of the field all hold shouts perhaps but thunderstruck look
well held last time out, Winter fever doesnt look reliable, Orchard
Supreme not offering much although slipping in the weights a lot and for
that grade this is potentially weak and should give the useful Tartan
Gunna a great opportunity to notch up his 5th career win. He looks to be
going the right way with a couple of good efforts when last seen last year
off this mark on 3rd start he won off a 3lb lower mark and also has a
great record on the AW 6 runs 2 wins, 2 2nds and 1 3rd has also gone well
fresh in the past.
1pt win tartan gunna 3/1 bet365
Wednesday 10th March
3.00 Lingfield
Interesting middle distance race Star Choice has been running well all
winter and finally got in front last time out in a muddling 5 runner
apprentice handicap over 2mile, step back in trip shouldnt be a problem
and does go unpenalised but this is more competitive. Byblos might be open
to more improvement than most of these having been lightly raced recently
and after cutting no mustard over hurdles he was brought back to the flat
in a weakish maiden over 1m3f at kempton and he probably did just run upto
this mark and makes a return to handicap on a good enough mark and he may
just have a little more to offer over this extended trip.
0.5pt e/w byblos
4.00 Lingfield
An extremely tough handicap and extremely competitive with several of
these in good form right now, Pha Mai Blue shaped as if coming back to
hand after a 60 day rest on friday and if that is the case he is
dangerously handicapped now 5lb lower than last CD win and he was
extremely well back last time out to suggest he has been working well.
0.5pt e/w pha mai blue
5.00 Lingfield
If this race is run to form it should be for pickings! Sherjawy has
been running well of late but is 4lb out of the handicap and likely to
find these 3 a bit too hot for him. Vhujon hasnt won over 5f since her
first ever run in a maiden 4 years ago. Step it up has been running with
much credit recently but wasnt hard pushed last time out and did stay on
encouringangly, so that leaves Wotashirtful who is a speedy front runner
and should finally get his bold chance infront again having contested a
hot handicap last time out only 3/4l behind the ever improving Nickel
Silver runs off same mark today.
2pt win Wotashirtful
6.30 Wolverhampton
Interest race and a small turnout for a decent prize and one I wont be
playing, Dubai Dynamo ran a good race at 40/1 last week and step up in
trip should be right up his street although reliability never been his
strong point so not solid to build on it. Cheviot is lightly raced and
although several placed efforts last year but far from ungenuine and
should hold solid claims if on song.
7.30 Wolverhampton
Satwa Moon should be far better than a class 5 handicapper, he is bred
with some classy blood lines and won extremely convincingly in apprentice
event beating the in form By Command by over 2 lengths goes unpenalised
for that 9 days ago and step up in trip looks a positive move he wasnt
stopping and he shapes as if he could be a handicap blot!
2pt win Satwa Moon
8.30 Wolverhampton
Another handicap blot here in Alex Fergusons Sworn Tigress ran away
with similar event over CD last week drops into class 7 today and although
shouldering 6lb penalty she is 2lb well in than should would be when her
new mark comes into action on saturday.
2pt win Sworn Tigress
Tuesday 9th March
2.10 Southwell
The flying 5 at southwell the best site in the winter months!!
Calmdownmate has been abmismal lately but is dropping down the weights,
Hitches Dubai is lightly raced and although made good progress in maidens
failed to cut the mustard in one handicap start but could be anything on
fibresand debut, Sir Nod appears to go well fresh but is tackling
fibresand for the first time so probably worth opposssing this time.
Wheres Riley has recently got his act together although still makes slow
starts he gets going late a stays on at the death and could well make
light work of a 3lb rise in handicap for last win when these sprinters are
in form they tend to win several.
1pt win Wheres Riley
3.40 Southwell
Veloso could be dangerous if fully wound up for new yard, hasnt been
seen for 480+ days but he has landed some gambles in his time but they
have all come in sellers but does handle surface and any money would be of
interest. Orkney is handicapped upto his last winning mark but has failed
to beat a rival home in last 3 flat starts and was well held on latest try
over hurdles. All gunds firing is unexposed and got off the mark last time
out 5lb rise should be within reach but up against Dart im not sure it
will be today. Dart shaped as though a break was very much needed last
tome out when chasing home another AW success story in Russian Musix last
time out who went on to win off a 6lb higher mark, Dart returns to the
track off a 1lb lower mark and could take all the beating.
1pt win dart
4.10 Southwell
A few unexposed sorts in the lineup which I like to see at Southwell as
it tends to get used as a training ground. Fuzzy cat does look the easiest
ride but did win well enough under this jockey last time out having been
backed off the boards, he was also well backed on 2 previous other starts
and he may be open to a little more having been lightly raced for his age.
The other interesting runner is Apache Moon, although carrying top weight
he showed best form under this jockey and also acts on this surface in
maidens, well held in claimer last time out but was a big ask and should
be more at home in a handicap on these terms, also blinkers fitted for the
first time if they have a positive affect.
0.5pt win fuzzy cat
0.25pt e/w Apache Moon
4.40 Southwell
Competitive and useful handicap with a few of these making seasonal
reappearance. Smarty Socks is 3 from 5 round here but finished the year on
a low over CD although in a much better race than this. General Tufto was
given no chance by his rider last time out when he was yanked back at the
start but did stay on past beaten horses and although now running of a
career best he did win with something in hand on penultimate start
although 8lb may be slightly harsh, but can never be readily discounted on
fibresand. Both Mozayada and Transonic are right back to their best
fighting out a finish last time out with Transonice just getting the
better of Mozayada who now gets a 8lb pull and is potentially well
handicapped on his best form and loves it round here.
0.25pt e/w general tufto
0.5pt e/w mozayada
Monday 8th March
3.50 Lingfield On a bad few days of racing
for us all weather boys it doesnt get any better today and this is a tough
little handicap and sadly only 7 runners so only 2 places paid. Orangepip
looked a useful sort when winning off a mark of 70 on handicap debut but
failed to build on that since, comes here for new trainer having slipped
in the weights back down to 73 and if fully wound up she could be capable
of getting involved but is a risky option. Fazbee has been running well
and managed to win well off a 3lb lower mark than todays but failed to
build on that when second to ishiadancer who failed to give that form much
of a boost and will probably go off far too short for any interest for me.
White shift came out of the doldrum last time out winning by a length and
is still well handicapped on old form but is up 5lb and up in class today
and she will need to build on that win to get involved here in my opinion.
Romantic queen is yet to win a handicap (won a maiden and a seller) but
has put 2 creditable efforts together lately but also creeping up the
weights without winning. That leaves Bold Ring who should hold a solid
chance if building on her 3rd last time out, that was in a similar race to
this and was her first run for over 100 days and should strip fitter,
handicapper has actually dropped her 1lb for that effort which is a bonus
as with many consistent horses the handicapper doesnt like to relent she
has sat around her latest mark for a while now with several placed
efforts.
0.5pt win Bold Ring
Friday 5th March
1.20 Lingfield
Bilberry got back in front on penultimate start and not put up an
excessive 2lb and ran a creditable effort in defeat last time out in a
muddling race where they went a dawdle and sprinted for the line, race
should be run more to suit today with several front runners. Pha Mai Blue
could be dangerous if all is well after a break, yard in good form and has
a good record on the awwith all 3 wins coming over this course now 5lb
lower than last winning mark potentially dangerous if back to best after
rest, has previously gone well fresh.
0.5pt win bilberry
0.25pt e/w pha mai blue
3.00 Lingfield
A very interesting and competitive 3yr old handicap and Brittains
horses continue in fine form and I actually laid Azlak last time out but
showed much improved form last week over kemptons mile having dropped a
considerable amount in handicap, runs off same mark today and Callan
booked for the ride who is also in fine form. Wide draw is the only
drawback for a prominent runner and hence reason I am not getting stuck
right in.
0.5pt win azlak
3.35 Lingfield
Several usual aw sprinters here and some potentially well handicapped
but when sprinters are in form they win if they aint they dont win its
usually a good rule of form with sprinters on aw. Brynfa Boy made a
positive comeback from break in weak maiden but really stepped up winning
handicap next time out, up 6lb for that effort and there was plenty of
money around last time out similar today would suggest he is to run
another solid race. Chjimes has plummeted in the weights and has a
fantastic record around here and should appreciate a short break after a
busy spell and could pose a danger if getting the gaps.
1pt win Brynfa boy
0.25pt e/w chjimes
4.45 Lingfield
Nacho Libre may be worth taking a chance on if getting away on terms
for once and getting a prominent position and has some useful 2yr old form
an although hasnt reached such heights since he did hit a good run when
able to dictate.
0.25pt e/w nacho libre
6.05 Wolverhampton
Rose row was in smashing form in 2009 on the AW runs off same mark as a
good second in a slow run race when she was left far too much to do should
find a much more honest pace on here and should hold a solid claim in this
field.
1pt win rose row
3.40 Meydan
Sircozzo breeze was an extremely eye catching winner last time out
although clearly not the easiest ride not settling he should go well with
a decent pace upfront and a 6lb rise shouldnt stop this potential group
class horse scoring again even if Detorri isnt on board!
1pt win sircozzo breeze
4.50 Meydan
Firebet is certainly worth another chance, he was well backed last time
out and was a decent enough second to Al Shemali up 2lb for that effort
and still looks to be improving.
0.5pt win firebet
Thursday 4th March
4.10 Southwell
Spruce has shown he is a real class act making light work of winning at
the weekend under a penalty, a further 3lb under penalty/rise in handicap
should prove of little inconvenience my only concern is his only last 2
wins have come at lingfield and although won over this course that was a 2
runner affair and not much of a match so today will be a truer test to
this surface. Should he fail Reverend Green is a very interestng runner
after winning NHF race on this surface and then won a weakish maiden over
a mile, step up in trip wont be a problem and Kevin ryan yard flying right
now. Bariolo is also unexposed and a potential danger but fibresand an
unknown.
1pt win spruce
0.5pt win Reverend Green (0.25pt rev f/c)
4.40 Southwell
Likely just a 4 runner field with Amber moon running last night. Miss
christophene looks to have a plum opportunity here today and forecasted
7/4 price is massive and would mind betting its a lot shorter. Look
officer best form is here but is very ungenuine and no headgear again,
Whooshka failed to really show anything yet and surface an unknown, Bushy
dell again failed to convince on one try at surface and handicapper looks
to have a hold. That leaves Christophene who was a head second to chargin
indian last time out over CD well clear of the rest of the field with
General tufto behind who has boosted that form recently. She is now 2lb
higher than last win round here but lightly raced and may have more to
offer her more exposed rivals.
2pt win miss christophene
5.10 Soutwell
What a lovely bunch of out of form horses we have here, Flores Sea won
a weak seller and should find this a lot tougher. Miss bootylishes has
been a model of consistency but looks held currently where as General
Tufto just keeps proving he really is top dog on this surface and even
under a penalty he looked to have plenty left last time out.
1pt win general tufto
6.20 Wolverhampton
Another decent looking handicap for an evening meeting. Several clearly
useful inform sorts but I have a slight preference for the Johnston runner
who could prove a little better than a class 3 handicapper clearly had his
problems only 2 runs to date one as a 2 yr old winning a decent york
maiden and then as a 3yr old winning another useful handicap at newmarket,
up 8lb for that win and may have more to offer and clearly goes well fresh
for a yard in good form.
1pt win perpetually
6.50 Wolverhampton
Usual out of form class 6 handicapers in the line up except the likely
2 market leaders. Wetherby place has strung 2 good efforts together but
they have come in apprentice events and may flatter him slightly, where as
The City Kid took advantage of career low mark last month and was unlucky
to bump into the useful granny mcphee last time out plus met trouble in
running still well in on old form and may have a little more to offer now
finding his form again.
0.5pt win the city kid
Wednesday 3rd March
2.30 Wolverhampton
Usual class 6 race, several well handicapped horses if recapturing form
but I like the look of :Liddards Withnail and irish import who won on
dundalks AW surface on penultimate start only 2lb higher for that and
remains lightly raced and open to plenty of improvement. Spoof master is
another interesting runner who was perhaps an unlucky second last time out
when getting caught late on at kempton last time out but he is still well
handicap on old form and if getting soft lead could be a threat, similar
could be said for Hart of gold who has continued in good form this winter
but perhaps has now peaked and gone over the top looking at his last race
dropping away extremely tamely.
0.25pt e/w withnail
0.25pt e/w Spoof master
4.30 Wolverhampton
Motarjm is of strong interest here on the back of his 4th last time
out, he catches the eye because of his mark which is 16lb lower than his
last win over cd in 2008. Clearly taken a bit of time to come to hand
again after a period on sidelines another 78 day rest last time out and
should strip fitter today and this is a step back in class again main
concern is the draw in stall 11 for this prominent runner.
0.5pt e/w motarjm
5.30 Wolverhampton
Small john meets Divine Force on 3lb better terms when they met back in
january when divine beat jogn by just over a length but smalljohn now
needs a career best off this mark and this race looks tougher and should
be more run to suit for Divine force who has done little wrong in defeat
last twice over 6f, he needs a true test over that trip and should be much
more suited back to 7f now.
0.5pt e/w divine force
6.45 Kempton
Whiskey Junction warrants a lot of respect in this company, he ran a
fine race in defeat last time out on seasonal reappearance and is sure to
strip fitter now he is on a workable mark and goes extremely well on
aw.
0.5pt e/w whiskey junction
7.45 Kempton
Interesting class 3 handicap and should have a few early season winners
in it, Jesse james could be something a little bit more than some of these
but a break to overcome. Thunderball was pushed wide last time but
handicapper might just have him just where he wants him right now. Gaily
noble would be dangerous if getting soft lead but outside draw not ideal.
Councellor was last seen second to vainglory who appears to be high enough
and has perhaps let that form down a little last twice so that leaves the
classy hurdler Starluck who was last seen going down a short head to the
extremely useful Go native, and potentially dangerous off this sort of
mark back on the flat also effective on polytrack.
1pt win Starluck
Tuesday 2nd March
3.40 Lingfield
Secret Witness has been in good form lately, up 8lb for a win on
penultimate start and was unlucky to find a slowly run race not quite to
suit in a 5 runner field should find things a little more forward going
today with plenty of forward moving horses and Lucky Redback is a likely
front runner on comeback run. He runs off same mark today and should be
the one they have to all beat.
1pt win secret witness
Monday 1st March
2.10 Wolverhampton
Total impact continues in good form this winter mainly in claimers but
proved he is on a workable mark back in handicaps last time out on
fibresand perhaps not quite as effective on polytrack but nonetheless is
still capable and was took out of a race on saturday clearly with this one
in mind. Desperate dan has done little wrong lately admitly again mainly
in claimers but is completely effective on polytrack and now drops 3lb
below last win in handicap company and Callan a strong booking.
0.5pt win total impact
0.25pt e/w desperate dan
5.10 Wolverhampton
Extremely hard race and it hard to rule out any of these at all, Ahmedy
is clearly not straightforward having had to have plenty of breaks between
races but did win over CD after nearly 3 years off the track back in
october and was a good 4th last time out, usefully claimer back on board
claiming 7lb again and should hold a strong chance. Kames park is heading
right back to his best and is still well handicapped on his old form he is
3lb better off in handicap today after a good run in second under a
pentalty for latest win and use of another useful claimer takes off a
handy 5lb and could be dangerous if a strong pace is set.
0.5pt e/w Ahmedy
0.5pt win kames park
5.40 Wolverhampton
Wavertree warrior is long over due a win and has done little wrong in
defeat last 3 times and especially last time and should appreciate this
step back up in trip, well in on old form and clearly in good heart
although not won for over 3 years and would wanna back win only only an
e/w option!
0.5pt e/w Wavertree Warrior |